{"id":10076,"date":"2017-11-29T19:07:33","date_gmt":"2017-11-29T16:07:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/?p=10076"},"modified":"2020-08-18T16:11:07","modified_gmt":"2020-08-18T13:11:07","slug":"lubnanin-hizbullah-ikilemi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/2017\/11\/29\/lubnanin-hizbullah-ikilemi\/","title":{"rendered":"L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n Hizbullah \u0130kilemi"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\" Mona Alami<\/a>      <\/i> 29 Kas\u0131m 2017<\/span><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div>
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\n\t\n\t\t<\/i>\n\t\tPDF olarak indir\t\t\n\t<\/a>\n<\/p>\n<\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div>

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Rapor<\/a> \/ \/ B\u00d6LGESEL G\u00dcVENL\u0130K<\/a>, Devlet & Devlet-D\u0131\u015f\u0131 Akt\u00f6rler<\/a><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div>
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Y\u00f6netici \u00d6zeti<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

L\u00fcbnan Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Saad Hariri\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131, \u00fclkesinin i\u00e7 i\u015flerine kar\u0131\u015fmakla su\u00e7layarak 4 Kas\u0131m g\u00fcn\u00fc[i]<\/a> istifas\u0131n\u0131 duyurmas\u0131 Orta Do\u011fu\u2019yu kas\u0131p kavuran bir hadiseydi. \u0130stifa a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131n\u0131n Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkenti Riyad\u2019da yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131nda Hariri\u2019nin a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131; Suudilerin, ezeli d\u00fc\u015fman olarak kodlad\u0131klar\u0131 \u0130ran ile m\u00fccadelesini geni\u015fletme karar\u0131n\u0131n ve L\u00fcbnan\u2019da muhtemelen yeni bir anla\u015fman\u0131n uygulamaya konulaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n da alt\u0131n\u0131 \u00e7iziyordu.<\/p>\n

\u0130stifa a\u00e7\u0131klamas\u0131nda Hariri, \u0130ran\u2019a ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki m\u00fcttefiki Hizbullah\u2019a d\u00f6n\u00fck sert bir k\u0131nama mesaj\u0131na da yer verdi. Ancak Hizbullah, bilindi\u011fi \u00fczere \u015eii militanlardan olu\u015fan bir grup oldu\u011fu gibi, daha \u00f6nce Hariri\u2019nin de liderlik etti\u011fi ulusal birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmeti koalisyonunun ortaklar\u0131ndan biri olan ve ayn\u0131 zamanda 30 sandalye ile temsil g\u00fcc\u00fcne sahip bir siyasi partidir de. Buna kar\u015f\u0131n L\u00fcbnan mezhepsel bir siyasi sisteme g\u00f6re idare ediliyor. \u015eii n\u00fcfuz g\u00fcc\u00fc olarak Hizbullah ve \u0130ran en \u00f6nemli bloku olu\u015ftururken di\u011fer blok, Suudi Arabistan ile ve \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc blok ise di\u011fer Arap \u00fclkeleri ve Bat\u0131 d\u00fcnyas\u0131 ile benzer siyasi g\u00fcndem ba\u015fl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 payla\u015f\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

2016 y\u0131l\u0131na gelindi\u011finde L\u00fcbnan\u2019daki birbirine rakip bu 3 blok, temel olarak anla\u015fmazl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 bir kenara b\u0131rak\u0131p bir birlik h\u00fck\u00fcmetine kat\u0131lma konusunda anla\u015ft\u0131lar. 2000 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcneyindeki \u0130srail i\u015fgaline kar\u015f\u0131 m\u00fccadele veren Hizbullah, dinamik militan g\u00fc\u00e7leri sayesinde \u015fu an i\u00e7in en g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc grubu olu\u015fturuyor ve 2013 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri Suriye\u2019de \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n bir anlamda destek g\u00fcc\u00fc olma i\u015flevi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Hariri; \u201c\u0130ran nereye yerle\u015fse oraya bir d\u00fczensizlik, zarar ve y\u0131k\u0131m getiriyor. Bu, Arap \u00fclkelerinin i\u00e7 i\u015flerine kar\u0131\u015fmas\u0131ndan da anla\u015f\u0131labiliyor\u201d derken \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki ellerinin kesilmesi gerekti\u011fini de s\u00f6zlerine eklemi\u015fti.<\/p>\n

Beyrut\u2019a d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnde \u201cArap karde\u015flerimizle olan ili\u015fkilerimiz esas olmal\u0131 ve bu, yaln\u0131zca s\u00f6zde de\u011fil, sahaya d\u00f6n\u00fck yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131m\u0131zda da kendisini g\u00f6stermelidir. Bununla birlikte L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n ger\u00e7ek bir ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k vizyonuna sahip olmas\u0131n\u0131 m\u00fcmk\u00fcn k\u0131lacak her yolun takip\u00e7isi olmal\u0131y\u0131z\u201d[ii]<\/a> diyerek g\u00f6rece uzla\u015fmac\u0131 mesajlar veriyordu. Fakat Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n uzun s\u00fcredir m\u00fcttefiki olan Michel Aoun\u2019\u0131n Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7ildi\u011fi 2016 se\u00e7imlerinden bu yana z\u0131mni bir dokunulmazl\u0131k ve geni\u015f bir imtiyaz hakk\u0131na sahip olmas\u0131, Hariri\u2019nin gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in bir belirsizlik ta\u015f\u0131yor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bir anlamda alt\u0131n \u00e7a\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir d\u00f6nemde Hizbullah, L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n \u00e7e\u015fitli b\u00f6lgelerinde etkisini artt\u0131rd\u0131. Bu makale, Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc ve \u00fclkenin dokusunu tehdit edebilecek son geli\u015fmeler \u0131\u015f\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, da\u011flar \u00fclkesi L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n Hizbullah\u2019a dair ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ikilemi mercek alt\u0131na al\u0131yor.<\/p>\n

Dipnotlar<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

[i]<\/sup><\/a>–<\/sup> Mroue Bassem, Lebanese fear PM resignation was a Saudi Power play, AP, 7 Kas\u0131m, 2017 <https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/world\/middle_east\/a-saudi-orchestrated-resignation-throws-lebanon-into-turmoil\/2017\/11\/07\/c2c7fd34-c382-11e7-9922-4151f5ca6168_story.html?utm_term=.0f787eade3c0><\/p>\n

[ii]<\/sup><\/a>–<\/sup>Naharnet Newsdesk, Hariri: Lebanon’s Stability More Important Than Problems Surrounding Us, Naharnet, 23 Kas\u0131m, 2017<\/p>\n<\/div>

<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u00fcbnan Ba\u015fbakan\u0131 Saad Hariri\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131, \u00fclkesinin i\u00e7 i\u015flerine kar\u0131\u015fmakla su\u00e7layarak 4 Kas\u0131m g\u00fcn\u00fc[i] istifas\u0131n\u0131 duyurmas\u0131 Orta Do\u011fu\u2019yu kas\u0131p kavuran bir hadiseydi.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":98,"featured_media":10079,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[363],"tags":[],"asf_pub_issue":[10305,10307],"asf_pub_region":[10321],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10076"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/98"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10076"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10076\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24561,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10076\/revisions\/24561"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10079"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10076"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10076"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10076"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=10076"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=10076"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}