Sars\u0131c\u0131 S\u00fcleymani suikast\u0131ndan sonra \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Irak\u2019taki vekil ve m\u00fcttefikleri \u00fczerinden ba\u015flataca\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcncemeli bir y\u0131pratma sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fanmas\u0131 muhtemeldir. B\u00f6yle bir stratejinin ne kadar etkili olaca\u011f\u0131 birka\u00e7 fakt\u00f6re ba\u011fl\u0131. Ancak en \u00f6nemlisi \u0130DMO Kud\u00fcs G\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn (KG) yeni komutan\u0131 \u0130smail Kani\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Irak\u2019taki vekil ve m\u00fcttefiklerini bu stratejiyi uygulamak \u00fczere toplamada ne kadar ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olaca\u011f\u0131 ile ilgili. Kani\u2019in selefi, kendisinin h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda sahip olmayabilece\u011fi bir karizma ve ki\u015fisel ili\u015fkilere sahipti. Bunlar\u0131 geli\u015ftirmek i\u00e7in de zamana ihtiya\u00e7 duyacak aksi halde bunun yoklu\u011funda di\u011fer ara\u00e7lar\u0131 kullanmak zorunda kalacakt\u0131r. Asl\u0131na bak\u0131l\u0131rsa Kani\u2019nin network kurmada k\u00f6kl\u00fc tecr\u00fcbelere sahip oldu\u011funa inan\u0131l\u0131yor bu y\u00fczden de \u00f6zellikle bu a\u015famada Irak sahas\u0131 yeteneklerini sergileyebilece\u011fi bir deneme sahas\u0131 olacak. \u0130DMO-KG, Kani\u2019nin tecr\u00fcbesini bor\u00e7lu oldu\u011fu Afganistan\u2019daki ABD hedeflerine kar\u015f\u0131 operasyonlar da d\u00fczenleyebilir. Bu da Afganistan\u2019\u0131 \u0130ran destekli Taliban g\u00fc\u00e7leri veya vekilleri arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ABD askeri personel ve diplomatlar\u0131na kar\u015f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcncemeli bir misilleme sahnesi haline getirebilir.<\/p>\n
Bunlar\u0131n yan\u0131nda Irak siyaset sahnesinde K\u00fcrt ve S\u00fcnni siyasal akt\u00f6rler ABD\u2019nin varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u0130ran n\u00fcfuzunun yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131n engellenmesinin teminat\u0131 olarak g\u00f6r\u00fcyor Kas\u0131m S\u00fcleymani\u2019nin K\u00fcrt ve S\u00fcnni siyasi akt\u00f6rlerle ba\u011flant\u0131lar\u0131 vard\u0131 ve anla\u015f\u0131lan o ki S\u00fcleymani, bu gruplarla kurdu\u011fu temaslar sayesinde yerel \u015eii vekil ve m\u00fcttefiklerinin tevecc\u00fch\u00fcn\u00fc de kazanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Kani bu gruplarla benzer \u015fekilde temaslar kurabilecek mi bekleyip g\u00f6rece\u011fiz. \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n \u0130rac Mescidi (eski bir \u0130DMO \u00fcyesi) Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131ndaki Irak diplomatik misyonu, S\u00fcleymani\u2019nin yoklu\u011funu en az\u0131ndan k\u0131sa vadede telafi etmek amac\u0131yla gelecekte yerel siyasi akt\u00f6rlerle ba\u011flant\u0131lar kurmada daha aktif rol oynayabilir. Ayr\u0131ca Ali Ekber Velayeti gibi \u0130ran m\u00fcesses nizam\u0131ndaki di\u011fer k\u0131demli isimlerin de S\u00fcleymani\u2019nin \u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131 bo\u015flu\u011fu doldurmak i\u00e7in daha \u00e7ok b\u00f6lgesel sorumluluklar \u00fcstlenmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn. <\/p>\n
K\u00f6rfez b\u00f6lgesi de ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131ndaki gerilimlerde hayati bir etmen olacak. S\u00fcleymani suikast\u0131 ve t\u0131rmanan gerginlik, \u0130ran ile K\u00f6rfez devletleri aras\u0131ndaki ileti\u015fimin azalmas\u0131na neden olursa b\u00f6lgedeki gerilimler de muhtemelen artacak. \u0130lgin\u00e7 bir \u015fekilde \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ara s\u0131ra \u0130ran ile Suudi Arabistan aras\u0131nda el\u00e7ilik g\u00f6revi \u00fcstlenen Kuveyt ile ili\u015fkileri de zaten k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fiyor. Umman\u2019\u0131n yeni Sultan\u0131 d\u00f6nemindeki d\u0131\u015f politikas\u0131n\u0131n K\u00f6rfez\u2019deki b\u00f6lgesel gerilimler \u00fczerinde olumlu veya olumsuz etkisi olabilir. Ancak \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki ba\u015f d\u00fc\u015fmanlar\u0131 Suudi Arabistan ve Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri (BAE) gerilimin azalmas\u0131ndan yana olduklar\u0131n\u0131n sinyalini verdi. Ge\u00e7en y\u0131l K\u00f6rfez\u2019de ya\u015fanan askeri gerginlikten sonra \u0130ran ile BAE aras\u0131ndaki ileti\u015fim iyiye gitmi\u015f ve Suudi Arabistan da \u0130ran\u2019a y\u00f6nelik s\u00f6ylemlerini yumu\u015fatm\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Sars\u0131c\u0131 S\u00fcleymani suikast\u0131ndan sonra \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Irak\u2019taki vekil ve m\u00fcttefikleri \u00fczerinden ba\u015flataca\u011f\u0131 s\u00fcr\u00fcncemeli bir y\u0131pratma sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fanmas\u0131 muhtemeldir. B\u00f6yle bir stratejinin ne kadar etkili olaca\u011f\u0131 birka\u00e7 fakt\u00f6re ba\u011fl\u0131. Ancak en \u00f6nemlisi \u0130DMO Kud\u00fcs G\u00fcc\u00fc\u2019n\u00fcn (KG) yeni […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":55,"featured_media":26944,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[364],"tags":[],"asf_pub_issue":[10313,10317,10319],"asf_pub_region":[10321],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14597"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/55"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14597"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14597\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14598,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14597\/revisions\/14598"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26944"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14597"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14597"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14597"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=14597"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=14597"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}