S\u00fcleymani suikast\u0131 her kesimden \u0130ranl\u0131y\u0131 ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bir araya getirerek Donald Trump y\u00f6netimiyle ilgilenilece\u011fi konusundaki i\u00e7 tart\u0131\u015fmalara son verdi. Takip eden i\u00e7 dinamikler Trump\u2019\u0131n umdu\u011fu sonucun aleyhine oldu. Suikast sonras\u0131 yayg\u0131n ABD kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 dil ve arg\u00fcmanlar \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n canl\u0131 ve tart\u0131\u015fmac\u0131 toplumunda nadiren g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcrd\u00fc. \u0130ran h\u00fck\u00fcmeti daha \u00f6nce keskin \u201cTrump ile s\u0131f\u0131r m\u00fczakere\u201d duru\u015funun mant\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u0131radan \u0130ranl\u0131lara a\u00e7\u0131klamak zorunda iken art\u0131k bunu tart\u0131\u015fmaya gerek kalmad\u0131. Washington ile m\u00fczakere edilmi\u015f bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm\u00fc savunan uzla\u015fmac\u0131lar\u0131 kenara iten suikast ve neden oldu\u011fu halk \u00f6fkesi \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin \u201cmaksimum bask\u0131s\u0131na\u201d kar\u015f\u0131 \u201caktif direni\u015f\u201d politikas\u0131n\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmekten ba\u015fka bir \u015feye yaramad\u0131.<\/p>\n
Misilleme yeminleri eden Tahran\u2019\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k vermekten ba\u015fka bir se\u00e7ene\u011fi kalmad\u0131 \u00e7\u00fcnk\u00fc eylemsizlik ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki b\u00f6lgesel cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 zay\u0131flat\u0131p Direni\u015f Ekseni\u2019ni yat\u0131\u015ft\u0131rarak ABD\u2019nin sald\u0131rganl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 daha da artt\u0131racakt\u0131. Orant\u0131sall\u0131\u011f\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131ran 8 Ocak f\u00fcze sald\u0131r\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 muhtemelen ba\u015fka eylemler izleyecek. Suikast, Direni\u015f Ekseni\u2019nin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n m\u00fcttefiki olan devlet ve hareketlerin hepsini vurdu ve bu y\u00fczden de eksen i\u00e7indeki siyasi ve askeri yetkililerin belirtti\u011fi gibi b\u00f6lgesel bir misilleme beklemek gerekiyor. Misillemenin geni\u015flik ve derinli\u011fi ABD-\u0130ran kar\u015f\u0131la\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n geni\u015f co\u011frafyas\u0131, askeri kapasiteleri ve b\u00f6lgede sahip olduklar\u0131 ittifaklar dahil bir\u00e7ok nedenle farkl\u0131la\u015fabilir. Bu yeni a\u015famada \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n temel hedefi sald\u0131r\u0131 alt\u0131ndaki cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 onararak gerginli\u011fin t\u0131rmanmas\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlemek olacakt\u0131r ancak \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n se\u00e7enekleri b\u00f6lgesel faaliyetlerindeki kademelilik gelene\u011fiyle uyumlu olmak zorunda.<\/p>\n
A\u00e7\u0131kt\u0131r ki \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgesel politikas\u0131 ABD-\u0130ran geriliminin yeni gidi\u015fat\u0131ndan etkilenecek ve S\u00fcleymani suikast\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin b\u00f6lgedeki varl\u0131\u011f\u0131na y\u00f6nelik ho\u015fg\u00f6r\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fc daha da azalt\u0131yor. \u0130ran muhtemelen ABD\u2019nin maksimum bask\u0131 politikas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda b\u00f6lgesel \u201caktif direni\u015fine\u201d a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131k verecek. Bu durum gelecek aylar ve y\u0131llarda iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki gerilimi t\u0131rmand\u0131racak ki bu da ABD\u2019ye ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 Ortado\u011fu\u2019daki devletleri etkiler. \u0130ran ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131ndaki cayd\u0131r\u0131c\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 koruman\u0131n yan\u0131nda ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 delmek i\u00e7in Ortado\u011fu\u2019dakiler dahil ba\u015fka \u00fclkelerle \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak. Bunun \u00f6tesinde k\u0131sa vadede beklenecek pek bir \u015fey yok. Suikast ve \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Irak\u2019ta verdi\u011fi kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k b\u00f6lgedeki fay hatlar\u0131n\u0131 bir kez daha peki\u015ftirdi. Ancak bu durum yeni olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n b\u00f6lgedeki faaliyetlerini etkilemesi de beklenmiyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
S\u00fcleymani suikast\u0131 her kesimden \u0130ranl\u0131y\u0131 ABD kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda bir araya getirerek Donald Trump y\u00f6netimiyle ilgilenilece\u011fi konusundaki i\u00e7 tart\u0131\u015fmalara son verdi. Takip eden i\u00e7 dinamikler Trump\u2019\u0131n umdu\u011fu sonucun aleyhine oldu. Suikast sonras\u0131 yayg\u0131n ABD kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 dil ve […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":111,"featured_media":26941,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[364],"tags":[],"asf_pub_issue":[10313,10317,10319],"asf_pub_region":[10321],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14599"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/111"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14599"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14599\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14600,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14599\/revisions\/14600"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14599"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14599"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14599"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=14599"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=14599"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}