{"id":14601,"date":"2020-01-16T13:03:49","date_gmt":"2020-01-16T10:03:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/?p=14601"},"modified":"2020-08-31T16:07:06","modified_gmt":"2020-08-31T13:07:06","slug":"ankara-iki-taraftan-da-tavizler-koparip-bolgedeki-atilgan-aktor-rolunu-tamamlamak-icin-tahran-ve-washington-ile-baglantilarini-surdurecek","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/2020\/01\/16\/ankara-iki-taraftan-da-tavizler-koparip-bolgedeki-atilgan-aktor-rolunu-tamamlamak-icin-tahran-ve-washington-ile-baglantilarini-surdurecek\/","title":{"rendered":"Ankara iki taraftan da tavizler kopar\u0131p b\u00f6lgedeki at\u0131lgan akt\u00f6r rol\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlamak i\u00e7in Tahran ve Washington ile ba\u011flant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek."},"content":{"rendered":"

Kas\u0131m S\u00fcleymani\u2019nin beklenmedik suikast\u0131ndan sonra \u0130ran b\u00f6lgede kademeli bir t\u0131rmand\u0131rma stratejisi izleyecek. \u0130lk a\u015famalar\u0131nda bu strateji a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ad\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7erecek:<\/p>\n

1- ABD\u2019yi g\u00fc\u00e7lerini Irak\u2019tan \u00e7ekmeye zorlamak<\/p>\n

2- N\u00fckleer faaliyetlerine ivme kazand\u0131rmak<\/p>\n

3- B\u00fcy\u00fck bir g\u00f6vde g\u00f6sterisi<\/p>\n

G\u00f6zlemlerimize g\u00f6re ikinci t\u0131rmand\u0131rma d\u00fczeyi, Tahran\u2019a \u201cyads\u0131nabilirlik\u201d ilkesine dayanarak kendisini savunma imk\u00e2n\u0131 verece\u011fi i\u00e7in \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n Irak\u2019taki vekilleri arac\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131yla ABD g\u00fc\u00e7lerine sald\u0131rmay\u0131 kapsamas\u0131 muhtemeldir. ABD\u2019nin K\u00f6rfez devletlerindeki \u00fcslerinden sald\u0131rmas\u0131 durumunda \u0130ran Amerikan m\u00fcttefiklerini do\u011frudan hedef al\u0131r. Sonu\u00e7 olarak bir y\u00fck payla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 \u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcs\u00fc g\u00f6rebiliriz: Vekil akt\u00f6rler ABD ile \u0130ran ise ABD\u2019nin m\u00fcttefikleriyle ilgilenecek.<\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye dibinde cereyan eden b\u00f6yle bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 \u00f6nlemeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015faca\u011f\u0131ndan \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde Suriye\u2019de ve \u00f6zellikle de Libya\u2019da daha etkin stratejilere ge\u00e7ebilir. Ankara burada iki boyutlu bir strateji g\u00fcdebilir:<\/p>\n

    \n
  1. ABD ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda arabuluculuk giri\u015fimi<\/span><\/li>\n
  2. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fcndemine ivme vererek jeopolitik kazan\u0131mlar\u0131n\u0131 en \u00fcst d\u00fczeye \u00e7\u0131karmak.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    Her ne kadar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin arabuluculuk \u00e7abalar\u0131 \u00f6nemli olsa da ABD T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye bir arabulucudan \u00e7ok m\u00fcttefik olarak ihtiya\u00e7 duyuyor. Bu kapsamda Washington muhtemel bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada ABD\u2019ye daha yak\u0131n durmas\u0131 i\u00e7in Ankara\u2019ya \u00f6zel tavizler teklif edebilir. Yine de Ankara iki taraftan tavizler kopar\u0131p b\u00f6lgedeki at\u0131lgan akt\u00f6r rol\u00fcn\u00fc tamamlamak i\u00e7in Tahran ve Washington ile ba\u011flant\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrecek.<\/p>\n

    S\u00fcleymani suikast\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n Suriye\u2019deki operasyon ve koordinasyon kapasitesini azaltarak \u015eii milislerin Suriye muhalefeti yerine ABD\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 ad\u0131m atmas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirebilir. Sonu\u00e7 olarak bu durum T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin m\u00fcttefiki Suriye Milli Ordusu\u2019na (SMO) Suriye\u2019de alan a\u00e7acak. Bu ba\u011flamda Putin\u2019in Suriye ve T\u00fcrkiye liderleriyle devam eden toplant\u0131lar\u0131 \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n g\u00fc\u00e7lerini ba\u015fka cephelere kayd\u0131rmak zorunda kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 bir zamanda yeni bir mutabakata var\u0131laca\u011f\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fareti olarak yorumlanabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    Kas\u0131m S\u00fcleymani\u2019nin beklenmedik suikast\u0131ndan sonra \u0130ran b\u00f6lgede kademeli bir t\u0131rmand\u0131rma stratejisi izleyecek. \u0130lk a\u015famalar\u0131nda bu strateji a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki ad\u0131mlar\u0131 i\u00e7erecek: 1- ABD\u2019yi g\u00fc\u00e7lerini Irak\u2019tan \u00e7ekmeye zorlamak 2- N\u00fckleer faaliyetlerine ivme kazand\u0131rmak 3- B\u00fcy\u00fck bir g\u00f6vde g\u00f6sterisi […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":23,"featured_media":26938,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[364],"tags":[],"asf_pub_issue":[10313,10317,10319],"asf_pub_region":[10321],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14601"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/23"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14601"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14601\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":14602,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14601\/revisions\/14602"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26938"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14601"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14601"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14601"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=14601"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=14601"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}