{"id":14963,"date":"2020-04-25T15:01:34","date_gmt":"2020-04-25T12:01:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/?p=14963"},"modified":"2020-08-27T14:48:39","modified_gmt":"2020-08-27T11:48:39","slug":"salgin-sonrasi-ne-tur-bir-dunya-beklenebilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/2020\/04\/25\/salgin-sonrasi-ne-tur-bir-dunya-beklenebilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Salg\u0131n Sonras\u0131 Ne T\u00fcr Bir D\u00fcnya Beklenebilir?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 whitecolor pub-meta-data hundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling fusion-equal-height-columns\" style=\"--link_hover_color: #f5f5f5;--link_color: #ffffff;--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-padding-top:2px;--awb-padding-right:6%;--awb-padding-bottom:2px;--awb-padding-left:6%;--awb-margin-top:0px;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;--awb-background-color:#901235;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_3 1_3 fusion-one-third fusion-column-first\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;width:33.333333333333%;width:calc(33.333333333333% - ( ( 4% + 4% ) * 0.33333333333333 ) );margin-right: 4%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content-centered\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content\"><div class=\"fusion-title title fusion-title-1 fusion-sep-none fusion-title-center fusion-title-text fusion-title-size-six text-upper\" style=\"--awb-text-color:#ffffff;--awb-margin-bottom:10px;--awb-font-size:16px;\"><h6 class=\"title-heading-center\" style=\"font-family:&quot;Open Sans Condensed&quot;;font-style:normal;font-weight:300;margin:0;font-size:1em;\"><a class=\"whitecolor\" href=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/author\/basheer-nafi\/\"><img src=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2018\/02\/Basheer-150x150.jpg\" class=\"postauthorimg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"> Basheer Nafi<\/a>  &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span ><i class=\"fa-calendar-alt far\" data-name=\"calendar-alt\"><\/i> 25 Nisan 2020<\/span><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-1 fusion_builder_column_1_3 1_3 fusion-one-third\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;width:33.333333333333%;width:calc(33.333333333333% - ( ( 4% + 4% ) * 0.33333333333333 ) );margin-right: 4%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content-centered\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content\"><div class=\"fusion-title title fusion-title-2 fusion-sep-none fusion-title-center fusion-title-text fusion-title-size-six custom-download-btn\" style=\"--awb-text-color:#000000;\"><h6 class=\"title-heading-center\" style=\"font-family:&quot;Open Sans Condensed&quot;;font-style:normal;font-weight:300;margin:0;\"><p>\n\t<a class=\"aligncenter download-button\" href=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/\/download\/14968\/?tmstv=1777298212\" rel=\"nofollow\">\n\t\t<i class=\"fa-download fas\"><\/i>\n\t\tPDF olarak indir\t\t<!--<small>Salg\u0131n-Sonras\u0131-Ne-Tu\u0308r-Bir-Du\u0308nya-Beklenebilir.pdf &ndash; Downloaded 1273 times &ndash; 2.58 MB\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/small>-->\n\t<\/a>\n<\/p>\n<\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-2 fusion_builder_column_1_3 1_3 fusion-one-third fusion-column-last\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;width:33.333333333333%;width:calc(33.333333333333% - ( ( 4% + 4% ) * 0.33333333333333 ) );\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content-centered\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content\"><div class=\"fusion-title title fusion-title-3 fusion-sep-none fusion-title-center fusion-title-text fusion-title-size-six text-upper\" style=\"--awb-text-color:#ffffff;--awb-margin-bottom:10px;--awb-font-size:16px;\"><h6 class=\"title-heading-center\" style=\"font-family:&quot;Open Sans Condensed&quot;;font-style:normal;font-weight:300;margin:0;font-size:1em;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/category\/yayinlar\/analiz\/\">Analiz<\/a> \/  \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/issue\/dunya-siyaseti\/\">D\u00fcnya Siyaseti<\/a><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-2 hundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-padding-top:50px;--awb-padding-right:10%;--awb-padding-bottom:50px;--awb-padding-left:10%;--awb-background-color:#f5f5f5;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-3 fusion_builder_column_1_6 1_6 fusion-one-sixth fusion-column-first\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;width:16.666666666667%;width:calc(16.666666666667% - ( ( 4% ) * 0.16666666666667 ) );margin-right: 4%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-4 fusion_builder_column_5_6 5_6 fusion-five-sixth fusion-column-last\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;width:83.333333333333%;width:calc(83.333333333333% - ( ( 4% ) * 0.83333333333333 ) );\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\"><p><strong><em><span style=\"color: #8b0933;\">(Bu yaz\u0131n\u0131n Arap\u00e7a orijinali ilk olarak El Cezire Ara\u015ft\u0131rmalar Merkezi taraf\u0131ndan 8 Nisan 2020 tarihinde yay\u0131mlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.)<\/span> <\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n modern d\u00fcnyan\u0131n gelece\u011fi, uluslararas\u0131 sistemin dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 kurumlar ve rejimler konusunda geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir tart\u0131\u015fma dalgas\u0131 ba\u015flatmas\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil. Bu, en az\u0131ndan insan ve toplum bilinci a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan e\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f bir salg\u0131n.&nbsp;\u0130nsano\u011flunun haf\u0131zas\u0131nda 14. y\u00fczy\u0131l\u0131n ortalar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclen vebadan tutun 1918-1920\u2019deki \u0130spanyol gribine kadar bug\u00fcnk\u00fcnden \u00e7ok daha \u015fiddetli ve feci salg\u0131nlar kay\u0131tl\u0131. Ancak ge\u00e7mi\u015fteki salg\u0131n d\u00f6nemlerinde ne bug\u00fcnk\u00fc gibi h\u0131zl\u0131 ve dakik ileti\u015fim ara\u00e7lar\u0131 vard\u0131 ne de insanlar\u0131n devletlerinden beklentileri \u015fu anki seviyedeydi. Covid-19 vir\u00fcs\u00fcn\u00fcn \u00c7in d\u0131\u015f\u0131na yay\u0131lmas\u0131ndan haftalar sonra onlarca, hatta y\u00fczlerce milyon insan salg\u0131n\u0131n yay\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131 ve insani, toplumsal ve iktisadi etkilerini somut ve ger\u00e7ek\u00e7i bir \u015fekilde tecr\u00fcbe etmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>10 Nisan itibar\u0131yla koronavir\u00fcs 1,5 milyondan fazla insan\u0131 etkiledi (ki hen\u00fcz muayene olup te\u015fhis konmam\u0131\u015f ve bu nedenle resm\u00ee rakamlara eklenmemi\u015f hastal\u0131\u011f\u0131n bula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00e7ok daha fazla kimse var); 100.000\u2019i a\u015fk\u0131n insan hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti; yery\u00fcz\u00fcnde hayat\u0131, sava\u015f r\u00fczg\u00e2rlar\u0131n\u0131n kas\u0131p kavurmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 kadar k\u0131r\u0131p ge\u00e7irdi.&nbsp; \u015eimdiye kadar en fazla Kuzey Yar\u0131mk\u00fcre etkilenmi\u015f gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcnse de salg\u0131n vakas\u0131 oldu\u011funu bildiren \u00fclke say\u0131s\u0131 200\u2019\u00fc a\u015ft\u0131. Bu \u00fclkelerin en az \u00fc\u00e7te biri, salg\u0131n\u0131 kontrol alt\u0131na alabilmek \u00fcmidiyle Mart ay\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131ndan itibaren ard\u0131 ard\u0131na toplumsal ve iktisadi faaliyetleri tamamen veya tamam\u0131na yak\u0131n\u0131n\u0131 durdurdu\u011funu ve sosyal mesafe kurallar\u0131n\u0131 kat\u0131 bir \u015fekilde uygulayaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u0130stanbul, Londra ve Paris\u2019ten tutun New York\u2019a kadar d\u00fcnyan\u0131n do\u011fusundan bat\u0131s\u0131na 21. y\u00fczy\u0131l resmini sunan hayat dolu b\u00fcy\u00fck \u015fehirleri korku, endi\u015fe ve belirsizlikle kapl\u0131 sessiz metropollere d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015ft\u00fc.<\/p>\n<p>Son birka\u00e7 haftad\u0131r siyaset bilimciler, tarih\u00e7iler, filozoflar ve uluslararas\u0131 ili\u015fkiler uzmanlar\u0131 salg\u0131n sonras\u0131 nas\u0131l bir d\u00fcnyan\u0131n do\u011faca\u011f\u0131 sorusu \u00fczerinde merakla duruyorlar. Acaba d\u00fcnya ve uluslararas\u0131 sistem daha iyiye do\u011fru bir de\u011fi\u015fime mi \u015fahit olur, yoksa salg\u0131n korkusu sona erdikten sonra insanl\u0131k eski haline mi d\u00f6ner? Salg\u0131n devlet ayg\u0131t\u0131n\u0131, devletin halk\u0131yla ili\u015fkisini ve devletlerin birbirleriyle ili\u015fkilerini ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde yeniden \u015fekillendirir? D\u00fcnyay\u0131 a\u011f\u0131r bir iktisadi durgunlu\u011fa s\u00fcr\u00fckledi\u011finden art\u0131k hi\u00e7 \u015f\u00fcphe duyulmayan salg\u0131n\u0131n temelini atabilece\u011fi iktisadi model nedir? 1990\u2019lardan bu yana h\u0131zla geli\u015fen k\u00fcresel ili\u015fkilerin kaderi nedir?&nbsp;Salg\u0131n\u0131n bizzat kendisi, d\u00fcnyan\u0131n birli\u011fine ve halklar\u0131n e\u015fitli\u011fine trajik bir tan\u0131k de\u011fil midir?<\/p>\n<p>Bunlar, salg\u0131n sonras\u0131 d\u00fcnyayla ilgili tart\u0131\u015fma sayfalar\u0131n\u0131 i\u015fgal eden ve a\u015fa\u011f\u0131daki tart\u0131\u015fmada ele al\u0131nacak \u00f6nemli konulardan baz\u0131lar\u0131. Ancak bu konular\u0131 ele almadan evvel, belki de bilinenleri ve salg\u0131n\u0131n gidi\u015fat\u0131yla ilgili bilinmeyenleri \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131mlar yap\u0131p tahmin etmeye ve salg\u0131n\u0131n d\u00fcnyayla, d\u00fcnya devletleri ve halklar\u0131yla ba\u011flant\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ke\u015ffetmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmak laz\u0131m.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Covid-19 salg\u0131n\u0131n\u0131n modern d\u00fcnyan\u0131n gelece\u011fi, uluslararas\u0131 sistemin dayand\u0131\u011f\u0131 kurumlar ve rejimler konusunda geni\u015f \u00e7apl\u0131 bir tart\u0131\u015fma dalgas\u0131 ba\u015flatmas\u0131 \u015fa\u015f\u0131rt\u0131c\u0131 de\u011fil<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":14964,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[362],"tags":[5076],"asf_pub_issue":[10317],"asf_pub_region":[10321,10323,10325,10327,10329,10331,10333],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14963"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=14963"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14963\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24946,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/14963\/revisions\/24946"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/14964"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=14963"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=14963"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=14963"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=14963"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=14963"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}