{"id":26565,"date":"2020-11-23T12:42:00","date_gmt":"2020-11-23T09:42:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/?p=26565"},"modified":"2020-12-02T12:46:33","modified_gmt":"2020-12-02T09:46:33","slug":"kendini-gerceklestiren-bir-kehanet-biden-yonetimi-doneminde-abd-turk-iliskilerine-yonelik-en-buyuk-tehdit-olabilir","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/2020\/11\/23\/kendini-gerceklestiren-bir-kehanet-biden-yonetimi-doneminde-abd-turk-iliskilerine-yonelik-en-buyuk-tehdit-olabilir\/","title":{"rendered":"Kendini Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren Bir Kehanet Biden Y\u00f6netimi D\u00f6neminde ABD-T\u00fcrk \u0130li\u015fkilerine Y\u00f6nelik En B\u00fcy\u00fck Tehdit Olabilir"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-one-full fusion-column-first fusion-column-last\" style=\"--awb-padding-top:20px;--awb-padding-right:20px;--awb-padding-bottom:20px;--awb-padding-left:20px;--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-box-shadow:2px 2px 20px 2px #dddddd;;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\"><p>Herhangi bir demokratik toplumda se\u00e7imlerin vatanda\u015flar i\u00e7in \u00f6nemli olaylar oldu\u011funa dair ku\u015fku yok ama ABD\u2019deki se\u00e7imlerin t\u00fcm toplumlara etkisi var. A\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a s\u00f6ylesin yahut s\u00f6ylemesin d\u00fcnyadaki her h\u00fck\u00fcmet Amerikan se\u00e7imlerindeki adaylardan birini di\u011ferine tercih eder. T\u00fcrk h\u00fck\u00fcmetinin tercihi ise mevcut ABD Ba\u015fkan\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019t\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n tek bir tweet ile T\u00fcrk ekonomisini alt \u00fcst etmeye giri\u015fme \u00f6rne\u011findeki gibi krizlere ra\u011fmen T\u00fcrkiye Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan ile ABD\u2019li mevkida\u015f\u0131 Donald Trump\u2019\u0131n neden bu kadar iyi ge\u00e7indi\u011fiyle ilgili pek \u00e7ok spek\u00fclasyon yap\u0131ld\u0131. Nedeni ne olursa olsun Trump ve Erdo\u011fan kafa dengiydi ve bunun T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye \u00e7ok faydas\u0131 dokundu. Trump, Washington\u2019da iki partide de \u00e7ok g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir T\u00fcrkiye kar\u015f\u0131tl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu bir d\u00f6nemde T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye S-400\u2019lerden dolay\u0131 yapt\u0131r\u0131m uygulanmas\u0131n\u0131 ve \u00e7e\u015fitli ba\u015fka yapt\u0131r\u0131m yasalar\u0131n\u0131n ge\u00e7mesini engelleyip Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n d\u0131\u015f politikada istedi\u011fini almas\u0131na yard\u0131mc\u0131 oldu. Ancak bu durum \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir gelecekte de\u011fi\u015fecek.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6ncelikle Erdo\u011fan ve Biden birbirlerini a\u00e7\u0131k\u00e7a sevmiyor. Nitekim Biden, Aral\u0131k 2019\u2019da New York Times\u2019a verdi\u011fi bir m\u00fclakatta Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n demokratik bir s\u00fcre\u00e7le iktidardan d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi gerekti\u011fini s\u00f6ylemi\u015fti. \u0130kincisi, Biden\u2019\u0131n \u015fahsi bir tarz\u0131 se\u00e7en Trump\u2019\u0131n aksine kurumsal bir y\u00f6netim tarz\u0131n\u0131 benimseyece\u011fi ve Kongre ya da di\u011fer kurumlar\u0131n g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini g\u00f6rmezden gelmeyece\u011fi bekleniyor. T\u00fcrkiye Washington\u2019daki bir hamisini kaybetti ve yeni birini kazanmayaca\u011f\u0131 kesin.<\/p>\n<p>\u00d6nemli olan sadece Biden de\u011fil. Ya\u015f\u0131 nedeniyle Biden\u2019\u0131n, h\u00fck\u00fcmetin g\u00fcndelik i\u015fleyi\u015finde sekreterlerine ve D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131, Savunma Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ve Ulusal G\u00fcvenlik Dan\u0131\u015fmanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 makamlar\u0131n\u0131 dolduracak ki\u015filere bel ba\u011flayaca\u011f\u0131 bekleniyor. Bu durum T\u00fcrkiye d\u00e2hil herkesi etkileyebilir. Dahas\u0131, kurumlar\u0131 g\u00fc\u00e7lendirme \u00e7abas\u0131n\u0131n oldu\u011fu durumda kurumlar\u0131n emrindekiler bile \u00f6nemli kararlar verebilecek. Bu insanlar\u0131n baz\u0131lar\u0131, Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n son birka\u00e7 y\u0131ld\u0131r sert\u00e7e ele\u015ftirdi\u011fi Obana y\u00f6netimi d\u00f6neminden gelen isimler olacak. Hatta bunlardan baz\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131n Trump d\u00f6neminde \u00e7ok fazla T\u00fcrkiye kar\u015f\u0131t\u0131 olduklar\u0131 i\u00e7in i\u015flerini kaybetti\u011fi bile s\u00f6ylenebilir.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130li\u015fkilerde sadece ki\u015filer de\u011fil politikalar da kilit bir rol oynayacak. Trump\u2019\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin politikas\u0131na ya ilgisiz kald\u0131\u011f\u0131 ya da anlay\u0131\u015f g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi Do\u011fu Akdeniz, K\u0131br\u0131s, Suriye ve G\u00fcney Kafkasya gibi bir\u00e7ok konu var. Biden ekibi bu konular\u0131n baz\u0131lar\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin duru\u015funa g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir \u015fekilde kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u0131kabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Trump\u2019\u0131n g\u00f6rmezden geldi\u011fi bir di\u011fer konu da Biden\u2019\u0131n sadece ABD i\u00e7inde de\u011fil d\u00fcnya genelinde de demokrasiyi umursamas\u0131. Demokrasi ihrac\u0131 ba\u015far\u0131s\u0131z ve feci bir politika ve Biden\u2019\u0131n bunu canland\u0131raca\u011f\u0131na inanm\u0131yorum ama T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de demokrasinin gerilemesine veya \u0130srail, M\u0131s\u0131r, Suudi Arabistan ve Birle\u015fik Arap Emirlikleri gibi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel rakiplerindeki k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen duruma kay\u0131ts\u0131z da kalmayacakt\u0131r. Herkesin Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n yabanc\u0131 liderlerin ele\u015ftirilerini hafif kar\u015f\u0131lamad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6\u011frendi\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcyorum. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla iki lider aras\u0131nda hararetli at\u0131\u015fmalar olaca\u011f\u0131 beklenebilir.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Bunlarla beraber ba\u015fkan olan Biden, aday olan Biden\u2019dan \u00e7ok farkl\u0131 olacak ve Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019nin yeni ba\u015fkan\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131 da eski ba\u015fkan yard\u0131mc\u0131s\u0131na yakla\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndan farkl\u0131 olacak. Biden, ba\u015fkan olarak ABD\u2019nin menfaatlerini y\u00fcceltmeyi hedefleyecek ve bu amaca ula\u015fman\u0131n en iyi yolunun bir ili\u015fkiyi yok etmek olmas\u0131 gerekmemekte. Bunu hat\u0131rda tutarak Biden y\u00f6netiminin ili\u015fkileri geli\u015ftirecek bir perspektif yakalamak i\u00e7in Erdo\u011fan\u2019a g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fme teklifinde bulunmas\u0131 beklenebilir. \u0130lk s\u0131navlardan biri T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin S-400\u2019lerle ilgili nas\u0131l bir karar alaca\u011f\u0131 ve ABD\u2019nin bunu nas\u0131l yorumlayaca\u011f\u0131 olacakt\u0131r. Konu etraf\u0131nda fazla bir manevra alan\u0131 yok ve T\u00fcrkiye Biden y\u00f6netiminin ilk birka\u00e7 ay\u0131nda kendisini ABD yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131yla kar\u015f\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131ya bulabilir. Ancak T\u00fcrkiye ve ABD kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 mutabakata dayal\u0131 bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm bulabilirse bu verimli bir d\u00f6ng\u00fcn\u00fcn ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131 olabilir. Bu bir h\u00fcsn\u00fc zan olabilir ama kaderci bir yakla\u015f\u0131mdan daha zararl\u0131 de\u011fildir.<\/p>\n<p>Kader demi\u015fken, Biden y\u00f6netimi d\u00f6neminde ABD-T\u00fcrkiye ili\u015fkilerine y\u00f6nelik en b\u00fcy\u00fck tehdit kendini ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiren bir kehanet olabilir. Joe Biden ve Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan ili\u015fkilerin en k\u00f6t\u00fc senaryoya evrilece\u011fini varsayarak nihayetinde ili\u015fkilerin kopmas\u0131na neden olabilecek ad\u0131mlar atabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Her ne kadar \u015fans Ankara\u2019n\u0131n aleyhine de olsa Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Erdo\u011fan me\u015fhur pragmatizmini sergilerse Biden\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 herkesin bekledi\u011finden \u00e7ok daha p\u00fcr\u00fczs\u00fcz ge\u00e7ebilir. Ancak gelinen noktada bu pek olas\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":165,"featured_media":26842,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[364],"tags":[],"asf_pub_issue":[],"asf_pub_region":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26565"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/165"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=26565"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26565\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":26575,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/26565\/revisions\/26575"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/26842"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=26565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=26565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=26565"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=26565"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=26565"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}