{"id":27352,"date":"2021-02-24T15:38:06","date_gmt":"2021-02-24T12:38:06","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/?p=27352"},"modified":"2021-02-26T15:39:55","modified_gmt":"2021-02-26T12:39:55","slug":"suriye-rejimi-sdg-ile-catisir-mi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/2021\/02\/24\/suriye-rejimi-sdg-ile-catisir-mi\/","title":{"rendered":"Suriye Rejimi SDG ile \u00c7at\u0131\u015f\u0131r m\u0131?"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bu yaz\u0131 ilk olarak Perspektif\u2019te<\/a> yay\u0131mlanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

Esed rejimi ve SDG aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan problemlerin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde n\u00fcksetmesi \u00e7ok kuvvetli bir olas\u0131l\u0131k. \u00d6zellikle Sezar yasas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda rejime uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, \u015eam y\u00f6netimini tabiri caizse fel\u00e7 etmi\u015f durumda. Rejim b\u00f6lgelerinde m\u00fctemadiyen yak\u0131t, gaz ve ekmek krizi ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Biden d\u00f6neminde de yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n devam edece\u011fi kesin gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ki bu da halk\u0131n ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131n daha da zorla\u015fmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/em><\/span><\/p>\n

Kuzeydo\u011fu Suriye\u2019de \u015eam rejimi ve PYD\u2019nin \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netimi aras\u0131nda son aylarda ya\u015fanan gerilim, k\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre \u00f6nce \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim\u2019in i\u00e7 g\u00fcvenlik g\u00fcc\u00fc olan Asayi\u015f ve rejime ba\u011fl\u0131 Ulusal Savunma G\u00fc\u00e7leri (USG) milisleri aras\u0131nda s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla neticelendi. Bilhassa ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131ndan itibaren iki taraf aras\u0131ndaki problemler, kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 hamleler ve tutuklamalarla birlikte g\u00f6zle g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcr bi\u00e7imde artm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Tutuklamalardan sonra da taraflar birbirlerini ku\u015fatma ve ambargo ile su\u00e7lad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler\u2019in insani yard\u0131mlar i\u00e7in sadece rejim ile \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmas\u0131 ve rejimin yard\u0131mlar\u0131 bir silah h\u00e2line getirmesinin yan\u0131nda, yard\u0131mlar\u0131n da\u011f\u0131t\u0131m s\u00fcrecinde ya\u015fanan b\u00fcy\u00fck yolsuzluklar da gerilimi artt\u0131ran bir fakt\u00f6r.<\/p>\n

2012 y\u0131l\u0131ndan beri PYD Suriye\u2019nin kuzeyinde bir hegemonya kurmu\u015f olsa da belirli b\u00f6lgelerde rejim varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 h\u00e2l\u00e2 s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fcyor. Rejime ba\u011fl\u0131 kuvvetlerin konu\u015flu bulundu\u011fu, sivillerin de mesk\u00fbn bulundu\u011fu ve ayn\u0131 zamanda rejim kurumlar\u0131n\u0131n fonksiyonel<\/a> h\u00e2lde oldu\u011fu bu noktalar \u201cg\u00fcvenlik karesi\u201d olarak adland\u0131r\u0131l\u0131yor. Rejimin hassas noktalar\u0131ndan olan bu b\u00f6lgelerde son zamanlarda gerilimli bir s\u00fcre\u00e7 ya\u015fand\u0131.<\/p>\n

Suriye Demokratik G\u00fc\u00e7leri (SDG) ve rejim aras\u0131ndaki gerilimli s\u00fcrecin sonunda 31 Ocak\u2019ta Haseke\u2019deki rejim kontrol\u00fcndeki bahse konu g\u00fcvenlik karesine Asayi\u015f taraf\u0131ndan uygulanan ku\u015fatman\u0131n kald\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 amac\u0131yla ger\u00e7ekle\u015fen ve Be\u015f\u015far Esed lehine sloganlar\u0131n at\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6steriler s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmayla noktaland\u0131. Olaylarda rejim g\u00fc\u00e7lerinden bir ki\u015fi \u00f6l\u00fcrken \u00fc\u00e7 ki\u015fi de yaraland\u0131. Esasen bu olaylar sadece ku\u015fatma ve ambargo ile de ilgili de\u011fil.<\/p>\n

Aral\u0131k ay\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131nda SDG ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin destekledi\u011fi Suriye Milli Ordusu (SMO) aras\u0131nda Ayn \u0130sa\u2019da ya\u015fanan \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalardan beri rejim, Rusya ve \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim\/SDG aras\u0131nda so\u011fuk r\u00fczgarlar esiyor. Rejim ve SDG aras\u0131nda Ayn \u0130sa\u2019n\u0131n rejime devredilmesi talebi ile fitili ate\u015flenen, Kam\u0131\u015fl\u0131\u2019daki tutuklamalar ile devam eden olaylar Haseke\u2019de ta\u015fma noktas\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Haseke\u2019de patlak veren \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n akabinde, rejimin SDG\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik bir asker\u00ee operasyon yap\u0131p yapamayaca\u011f\u0131 sorusu sorulmaya ba\u015fland\u0131. Rejimin SDG\u2019ye d\u00f6n\u00fck kapsaml\u0131 bir operasyon yapmas\u0131 ise birka\u00e7 sebepten \u00f6t\u00fcr\u00fc pek muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Ayn \u0130sa Krizi<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim\u2019in ba\u015fkenti Ayn \u0130sa, Suriye Milli Ordusu taraf\u0131ndan \u00f6zellikle aral\u0131k ay\u0131n\u0131n ortas\u0131ndan itibaren defalarca hedef al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131. S\u00fcrpriz olmayan bir \u015fekilde, Joe Biden\u2019\u0131n ABD\u2019de y\u00f6netime gelmesinin hemen \u00f6ncesinde \u015fiddeti artan bu sald\u0131r\u0131lar\u0131 Rusya etkin bir \u015fekilde de\u011ferlendirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Ayn \u0130sa\u2019n\u0131n yan\u0131 s\u0131ra Tel Tamr ve Tel R\u0131fat da hedef al\u0131nd\u0131. Bu d\u00f6nemde Rusya, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin tehditlerini ileri s\u00fcrerek, SDG\u2019den Ayn \u0130sa\u2019y\u0131 Esed y\u00f6netimine devretmesini talep etti. M4 otoyolunun kontrol\u00fc a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan stratejik bir noktada bulunan Ayn \u0130sa\u2019n\u0131n kaybedilmesi durumunda s\u0131ran\u0131n Kobani gibi di\u011fer K\u00fcrt b\u00f6lgelerine de gelece\u011fini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcnen SDG bu talebi reddedip, Rusya\u2019n\u0131n garant\u00f6rl\u00fck g\u00f6revini yerine getirmesini talep etti. Ancak Rusya SDG-SMO \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131na b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda sessiz kald\u0131.<\/p>\n

Ayr\u0131ca Rusya, SDG\u2019nin zor durumundan yararlanarak Ayn \u0130sa\u2019da baz\u0131 g\u00f6zlem noktalar\u0131<\/a> kurarak etkinlik alan\u0131n\u0131 da artt\u0131rd\u0131. Bununla da yetinmeyen Rusya\u2019n\u0131n SDG \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131y\u0131 artt\u0131rmaya devam etti\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. \u00d6rne\u011fin, birka\u00e7 g\u00fcn \u00f6nce Rusya Ayn \u0130sa ve Tel Tamr\u2019daki \u00fcslerinden \u00e7ekildi<\/a>. K\u0131sa bir s\u00fcre sonra ise Rus askerleri \u00e7ekildikleri \u00fcslerine geri d\u00f6nd\u00fcler. Bu tarz ani hamlelerle Rusya\u2019n\u0131n SDG\u2019den tavizler koparmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. <\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye, Rusya ve Suriye Rejimi Aras\u0131nda Z\u0131mni Bir Anla\u015fma \u0130ddias\u0131<\/strong><\/p>\n

Ayn \u0130sa\u2019n\u0131n yo\u011fun olarak hedef al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 aral\u0131k ay\u0131ndan beri PYD\/SDG kaynaklar\u0131 Rusya, T\u00fcrkiye ve Esed rejimi aras\u0131nda \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131 z\u0131mn\u00ee bir anla\u015fma oldu\u011fu iddias\u0131n\u0131 dillendiriyor<\/a>. SDG\u2019nin Ayn \u0130sa\u2019n\u0131n hedef al\u0131nd\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00f6nemde rejim ve Rusya\u2019dan bekledi\u011fi deste\u011fi g\u00f6rememesi de PYD\/SDG i\u00e7in g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015flerini tahkim eden bir veri i\u015flevi g\u00f6rd\u00fc. Bu zaman zarf\u0131nda SDG, s\u0131kl\u0131kla rejimi ve Rusya\u2019y\u0131 bombard\u0131mana seyirci kalmakla su\u00e7lad\u0131. \u00d6zellikle Rusya\u2019ya y\u00f6nelik tepki b\u00fcy\u00fckt\u00fc. Rusya\u2019n\u0131n garant\u00f6rl\u00fck g\u00f6revini yerine getirmedi\u011fi ve kendi \u00e7\u0131karlar\u0131n\u0131n pe\u015finden ko\u015ftu\u011fu iddias\u0131 SDG\/PYD medyas\u0131nda s\u0131kl\u0131kla i\u015flendi. Dahas\u0131 bombard\u0131man\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fc\u011f\u00fc d\u00f6nemde Rusya Ayn \u0130sa ve baz\u0131 ba\u015fka b\u00f6lgelerde defalarca protesto edildi<\/a>.<\/p>\n

Kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 Su\u00e7lamalar, Tutuklamalar ve Ku\u015fatma<\/strong><\/p>\n

Haseke\u2019de ya\u015fanan olaylar\u0131n bir evveliyat\u0131 oldu\u011funu yukar\u0131da ifade ettim. Aral\u0131k 2020\u2019de rejim baz\u0131 SDG mensuplar\u0131n\u0131 tutuklad\u0131. Buna misilleme olarak da SDG, ocak ay\u0131n\u0131n ba\u015f\u0131nda Kam\u0131\u015fl\u0131\u2019da baz\u0131 rejim mensuplar\u0131n\u0131 tutuklad\u0131<\/a>. Sonraki haftalarda gerginlik t\u0131rmanarak SDG ve Ulusal Savunma G\u00fc\u00e7leri aras\u0131nda Kam\u0131\u015fl\u0131\u2019da \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma<\/a> dahi ya\u015fand\u0131. Bu \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmada da USG\u2019den yaralananlar oldu. \u00c7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan PYD\/SDG ve rejim medyas\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 olarak birbirlerine y\u00f6nelik su\u00e7lamalar\u0131n dozaj\u0131n\u0131 artt\u0131rd\u0131. \u00d6zellikle de taraflar birbirlerini kar\u015f\u0131 tarafa ambargo ve ku\u015fatma uygulayarak, sivillerin ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131 zorla\u015ft\u0131rmakla itham etti. SDG\/\u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim, Halep\u2019te K\u00fcrtlerin yo\u011fun olarak ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015eeyh Maksud ve E\u015frefiye mahallerine ek olarak, Afrinli m\u00fcltecilerin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015eehba olarak bilinen kamplara rejimin ambargo uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 iddia etti.<\/p>\n

Rejimin ad\u0131 ge\u00e7en alanlarda ya\u015fayan halk\u0131 temel g\u0131da maddeleri, yak\u0131t ve ila\u00e7 gibi gereksinimlerden mahrum b\u0131rakt\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ileri s\u00fcren SDG bunun \u00fczerine rejimin yumu\u015fak karn\u0131 olan Kam\u0131\u015fl\u0131 ve Haseke\u2019deki<\/a> \u201cg\u00fcvenlik karelerini\u201d ku\u015fatmaya ald\u0131. K\u00fcrtlerin ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bahse konu alanlara son birka\u00e7 ayda rejimin ku\u015fatma uygulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 do\u011fru olmakla birlikte Asayi\u015f\u2019in Haseke ve Kam\u0131\u015fl\u0131\u2019da rejime el y\u00fckseltmesindeki temel fakt\u00f6r\u00fcn Ayn \u0130sa oldu\u011fu ifade edilebilir. Ayr\u0131ca bu ku\u015fatmaya Ulusal Savunma G\u00fc\u00e7leri\u2019nin SDG\u2019ye yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 baz\u0131 sald\u0131r\u0131lar da gerek\u00e7e g\u00f6sterildi. Ku\u015fatma ile SDG, rejimi K\u00fcrtlerin yo\u011fun ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 b\u00f6lgeler \u00fczerindeki ambargoyu kald\u0131rmaya ve rejim kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda elini g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015ft\u0131. Bu ku\u015fatma 20 g\u00fcn<\/a> kadar devam etti. SDG\u2019nin bu zaman diliminde b\u00f6lgeye giri\u015f ve \u00e7\u0131k\u0131\u015flar\u0131 s\u0131k\u0131 bir \u015fekilde kontrol etti\u011fi biliniyor.<\/p>\n

Yakla\u015f\u0131k 3 haftal\u0131k bu ku\u015fatman\u0131n sonucunda Haseke Valisi \u011eassan Halil, taraftarlar\u0131yla bir toplant\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirerek, rejim destek\u00e7ilerini SDG\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 protestolar d\u00fczenlemeye davet etti. SDG bunun \u00fczerine valiyi ve rejimi K\u00fcrtler ile Araplar aras\u0131nda nifak tohumlar\u0131 ekmekle<\/a> su\u00e7lad\u0131. \u011eassan Halil\u2019in \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan rejim destek\u00e7ileri ve Ulusal Savunma G\u00fc\u00e7leri milisleri Be\u015f\u015far Esed lehine sloganlar at\u0131p SDG\/Asayi\u015f\u2019i protesto ettiler. Bunun akabinde, olaylar s\u0131cak \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya d\u00f6nd\u00fc ve bir ki\u015finin hayat\u0131n\u0131 kaybetti\u011fi \u00fc\u00e7 ki\u015finin de yaraland\u0131\u011f\u0131 olay vuku buldu. Olaylar\u0131n ard\u0131ndan Rusya devreye girdi ve taraflar kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 olarak uygulad\u0131klar\u0131 ku\u015fatmalar\u0131 kald\u0131rd\u0131lar. Yani; Halep\u2019e kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k, Haseke verilmi\u015f oldu. Ku\u015fatman\u0131n bitmesi ve yard\u0131mlar\u0131n halka ula\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lmaya<\/a> ba\u015flanmas\u0131yla, zor g\u00fcnlerden ge\u00e7en bahse konu b\u00f6lgelerde hayat belli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde normale d\u00f6nmeye ba\u015flad\u0131.<\/p>\n

K\u0131r\u0131lgan Bir Zeminde \u0130lerleyen \u0130li\u015fkiler<\/strong><\/p>\n

Esed rejimi ve SDG aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan problemlerin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde n\u00fcksetmesi \u00e7ok kuvvetli bir olas\u0131l\u0131k. \u00d6zellikle Sezar yasas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda rejime uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, \u015eam y\u00f6netimini tabiri caizse fel\u00e7 etmi\u015f durumda. Rejim b\u00f6lgelerinde m\u00fctemadiyen yak\u0131t, gaz ve ekmek krizi<\/a> ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Biden d\u00f6neminde de yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n devam edece\u011fi kesin gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ki bu da halk\u0131n ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131n daha da zorla\u015fmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n

\u00d6te tarafta ise rejim SDG\u2019yi ABD i\u015fgal g\u00fc\u00e7leri destekli milisler<\/a> olarak kodlay\u0131p, SDG\u2019ye y\u00f6nelik tutumunu ortaya koyuyor. Bunlara ek olarak, \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim\/SDG\u2019nin \u00fclkenin kuzeydo\u011fusunda verimli tar\u0131m b\u00f6lgelerinin yan\u0131nda \u00fclkedeki petrol alanlar\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 elinde bulundurmas\u0131, yapt\u0131r\u0131mlarla durumu gitgide k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fen rejimin \u00d6zerk idareye y\u00f6nelik olumsuz alg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 tahkim eden bir kataliz\u00f6r i\u015flevi de g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Bu nedenlerle, taraflar aras\u0131nda k\u0131r\u0131lgan bir zeminde ilerleyen ili\u015fkilerin 2021 i\u00e7erisinde daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmesi muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Rejim Ordusunda K\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme<\/strong><\/p>\n

Bunlarla birlikte, rejim ve SDG aras\u0131nda b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ihtimalinin ufukta belirdi\u011fini ifade etmek i\u00e7in elimizde yeterli veri oldu\u011fu s\u00f6ylenemez.<\/p>\n

Rejimin h\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda SDG\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 giri\u015fece\u011fi bir sald\u0131r\u0131dan elde edebilece\u011fi pek bir kazan\u0131m yok. Ayr\u0131ca rejim ordusunun kapasitesi de b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 bir operasyona elveri\u015fli de\u011fil. Nitekim ordunun k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme karar\u0131 almas\u0131 bu g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc tahkim ediyor. Rejim lideri Be\u015f\u015far Esed\u2019in 10 Ocak\u2019taki bir genelgesi ile Suriye ordusunun k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmesi \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Ordunun b\u00fct\u00fcn k\u0131s\u0131mlar\u0131nda sava\u015fa haz\u0131rl\u0131k kapasitesinin %66\u2019dan %33\u2019e, bu b\u00f6l\u00fcmlerle ba\u011flant\u0131l\u0131 asker\u00ee birliklerde ise kapasitenin %80\u2019den %50\u2019ye d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fclmesi karar\u0131 al\u0131nd\u0131. Ayn\u0131 \u015fekilde kara kuvvetleri ve deniz kuvvetleri kapasitesinde de d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f ya\u015fand\u0131. Bu kuvvetlerde sava\u015fa haz\u0131rl\u0131k durumunun %100\u2019den %80\u2019e d\u00fc\u015fmesi hedefleniyor. Bu hamlelerle ordunun 2012 \u00f6ncesi<\/a> seviyesine d\u00f6nece\u011fi belirtiliyor.<\/p>\n

Ordunun sava\u015fa haz\u0131rl\u0131k ve asker\u00ee mobilizasyon kapasitesinde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclme karar\u0131 almas\u0131ndaki temel saikin maddi s\u0131k\u0131nt\u0131lar oldu\u011fu dillendiriliyor. Ancak tek sebebin bu olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da a\u015fik\u00e2r. Suriye\u2019nin kuzeybat\u0131s\u0131nda \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda donmu\u015f olmas\u0131 da rejimin asker\u00ee kapasitesinde k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fclmeye gitmesindeki bir di\u011fer sebep. Biden d\u00f6neminde Sezar yasas\u0131 kapsam\u0131ndaki yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n h\u0131z kesmeden devam etme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n \u00e7ok y\u00fcksek olmas\u0131 ve ekonominin daha da k\u00f6t\u00fcle\u015fmesi beklentisi 2021\u2019de orduyu daha da zorlayabilir. \u0130ran ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 ekonomik problemler de ayr\u0131ca rejime olumsuz manada yans\u0131yacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bunlar\u0131n d\u0131\u015f\u0131nda, rejimin asker\u00ee kapasitesini SDG ile b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 bir rekabete\/\u00e7at\u0131\u015fmaya giri\u015ferek kullanmak yerine, g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc Suriye muhalefetinin son kalesi \u0130dlib\u2019e ve s\u00fcrekli olarak kendisine sorun \u00e7\u0131karan Dera\u2019ya saklamak isteyece\u011fini s\u00f6ylemek abart\u0131l\u0131 olmaz. H\u00e2lihaz\u0131rda \u0130dlib\u2019e b\u00fcy\u00fck oranda s\u00fck\u00fbnet h\u00e2kim, ancak Suriye\u2019nin g\u00fcneyi rejime sorun \u00e7\u0131kartmaya devam ediyor. 2018 y\u0131l\u0131nda Rusya\u2019n\u0131n arabuluculu\u011fuyla Dera\u2019daki muhalifler, rejim ile anla\u015fm\u0131\u015f olsalar da iki taraf aras\u0131nda s\u0131kl\u0131kla problem<\/a> ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Taraflar aras\u0131nda zaman zaman \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma da ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Rejimin otorite kurmada b\u00fcy\u00fck problem ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 G\u00fcney Suriye ocak ay\u0131nda yine asker\u00ee bir gerilime<\/a> sahne olmu\u015ftu. Eski muhalifler ile rejim aras\u0131ndaki gerginli\u011fin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde devam etmesi de \u00e7ok muhtemel g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n

Has\u0131l\u0131, SDG ve \u00d6zerk Y\u00f6netim ciddi problemlerle y\u00fczle\u015fse de rejimle b\u00fcy\u00fck bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma ya\u015fama ihtimali d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor. Yine de taraflar aras\u0131nda so\u011fuk r\u00fczgarlar\u0131n esmeye devam edece\u011fi kesin. Ku\u015fatma kalksa da Asayi\u015f\u2019in \u201crejim ihlallerine kar\u015f\u0131\u201d Haseke\u2019de rejim kontrol\u00fcndeki b\u00f6lgelerdeki noktalar\u0131n\u0131n yerinde kalaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ifade etmesi ve rejimin ku\u015fatma kalkt\u0131ktan sonra dahi SDG\u2019ye kar\u015f\u0131 kulland\u0131\u011f\u0131 dil, taraflar aras\u0131ndaki g\u00fcven bunal\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koyuyor.<\/p>\n

Taraflar aras\u0131ndaki sorunlar bir s\u00fcreli\u011fine donduruldu. Ama iki taraf\u0131n kapsaml\u0131 bir anla\u015fmaya varmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 da \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczde bir ger\u00e7ek olarak duruyor. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla, iki taraf\u0131n zaman zaman k\u00fc\u00e7\u00fck \u00e7apl\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar ya\u015famas\u0131n\u0131n her zaman ihtimal dahilinde oldu\u011fu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclebilir.<\/p>\n<\/div>

<\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Esed rejimi ve SDG aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan problemlerin \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki d\u00f6nemde n\u00fcksetmesi \u00e7ok kuvvetli bir olas\u0131l\u0131k. \u00d6zellikle Sezar yasas\u0131 kapsam\u0131nda rejime uygulanan yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar, \u015eam y\u00f6netimini tabiri caizse fel\u00e7 etmi\u015f durumda. Rejim b\u00f6lgelerinde m\u00fctemadiyen yak\u0131t, gaz ve ekmek krizi ya\u015fan\u0131yor. Biden d\u00f6neminde de yapt\u0131r\u0131mlar\u0131n devam edece\u011fi kesin gibi g\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fcyor ki bu da halk\u0131n ya\u015fam\u0131n\u0131n daha da zorla\u015fmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na geliyor.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":57,"featured_media":27353,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[14655,7094,241],"tags":[],"asf_pub_issue":[],"asf_pub_region":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27352"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/57"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=27352"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27352\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":27356,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/27352\/revisions\/27356"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/27353"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=27352"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=27352"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=27352"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=27352"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=27352"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}