{"id":29383,"date":"2021-11-03T13:08:29","date_gmt":"2021-11-03T10:08:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/?p=29383"},"modified":"2021-12-16T10:38:26","modified_gmt":"2021-12-16T07:38:26","slug":"suudi-arabistan-iran-gorusmeleri-motivasyonlar-cikmazlar-ve-muhtemel-senaryolar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/2021\/11\/03\/suudi-arabistan-iran-gorusmeleri-motivasyonlar-cikmazlar-ve-muhtemel-senaryolar\/","title":{"rendered":"Suudi Arabistan-\u0130ran G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmeleri: Motivasyonlar, \u00c7\u0131kmazlar ve Muhtemel Senaryolar"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 whitecolor pub-meta-data hundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling fusion-equal-height-columns\" style=\"--link_hover_color: #f5f5f5;--link_color: #ffffff;--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;--awb-padding-top:2px;--awb-padding-right:6%;--awb-padding-bottom:2px;--awb-padding-left:6%;--awb-margin-top:0px;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;--awb-background-color:#901235;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_3 1_3 fusion-one-third fusion-column-first\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;width:33.333333333333%;width:calc(33.333333333333% - ( ( 4% + 4% ) * 0.33333333333333 ) );margin-right: 4%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content-centered\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content\"><div class=\"fusion-title title fusion-title-1 fusion-sep-none fusion-title-center fusion-title-text fusion-title-size-six text-upper\" style=\"--awb-text-color:#ffffff;--awb-margin-bottom:10px;--awb-font-size:16px;\"><h6 class=\"title-heading-center\" style=\"font-family:&quot;Open Sans Condensed&quot;;font-style:normal;font-weight:300;margin:0;font-size:1em;\"><a class=\"whitecolor\" href=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/author\/ali-nejat\/\"><img src=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/11\/image.png\" class=\"postauthorimg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\"> Ali Nejat<\/a>  &nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<span ><i class=\"fa-calendar-alt far\" data-name=\"calendar-alt\"><\/i> 03 Kas\u0131m 2021<\/span><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-1 fusion_builder_column_1_3 1_3 fusion-one-third\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;width:33.333333333333%;width:calc(33.333333333333% - ( ( 4% + 4% ) * 0.33333333333333 ) );margin-right: 4%;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content-centered\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content\"><div class=\"fusion-aligncenter\"><a class=\"fusion-button button-flat fusion-button-default-size button-custom fusion-button-default button-1 fusion-button-default-span fusion-button-default-type fusion-has-button-gradient\" style=\"--button_accent_color:#000000;--button_accent_hover_color:#8a1538;--button_border_hover_color:#ffffff;--button_gradient_top_color:#ffffff;--button_gradient_bottom_color:#ffffff;--button_gradient_top_color_hover:#ffffff;--button_gradient_bottom_color_hover:rgba(51,51,51,0.22);\" target=\"_self\" href=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/download\/29387\/\"><span class=\"fusion-button-text\">PDF \u0130ndir<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-2 fusion_builder_column_1_3 1_3 fusion-one-third fusion-column-last\" style=\"--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;width:33.333333333333%;width:calc(33.333333333333% - ( ( 4% + 4% ) * 0.33333333333333 ) );\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content-centered\"><div class=\"fusion-column-content\"><div class=\"fusion-title title fusion-title-2 fusion-sep-none fusion-title-center fusion-title-text fusion-title-size-six text-upper\" style=\"--awb-text-color:#ffffff;--awb-margin-bottom:10px;--awb-font-size:16px;\"><h6 class=\"title-heading-center\" style=\"font-family:&quot;Open Sans Condensed&quot;;font-style:normal;font-weight:300;margin:0;font-size:1em;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/category\/yayinlar\/uzman-gorusu\/\">Uzman G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc<\/a> \/  \/ <a href=\"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/issue\/bolgesel-politika\/\">B\u00f6lgesel Politika<\/a><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-2 nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"--awb-border-radius-top-left:0px;--awb-border-radius-top-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-right:0px;--awb-border-radius-bottom-left:0px;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-3 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-one-full fusion-column-first fusion-column-last\" style=\"--awb-padding-top:20px;--awb-padding-right:20px;--awb-padding-bottom:20px;--awb-padding-left:20px;--awb-bg-size:cover;--awb-box-shadow:2px 2px 20px 2px #dddddd;;--awb-margin-bottom:0px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-column-has-shadow fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\"><p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong><em>(Bu metin Arap\u00e7a orijinal versiyonundan terc\u00fcme edilmi\u015ftir.)<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00d6zet: <\/strong>\u0130ran \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti ile Suudi Arabistan aras\u0131ndaki diplomatik ili\u015fkiler, Ocak 2016\u2019da Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n \u015eii din adam\u0131 Nemr Bak\u0131r En-Nemr\u2019i idam etmesinin ard\u0131ndan Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Me\u015fhed\u2019deki Konsoloslu\u011funa \u0130ranl\u0131 protestocular taraf\u0131ndan sald\u0131r\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinden bu yana kesilmi\u015fti. \u0130ki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan siyasi ve diplomatik ihtilaflarla ge\u00e7en 6 y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcrecin ard\u0131ndan son aylarda Tahran ile Riyad aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir s\u00fck\u00fbnet g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor. Suudi Arabistan ve \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer son aylarda kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 olarak olumlu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yap\u0131yor. S\u00f6z konusu iki b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fcc\u00fcn birbirine kar\u015f\u0131 olan yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131nda beliren de\u011fi\u015fimde, yerel, b\u00f6lgesel ve uluslararas\u0131 dinamikler etkili oluyor. Bu dinamikler, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki gerilimi d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcr\u00fcrken, krizlerin a\u015f\u0131lmas\u0131na da katk\u0131 sunuyor. Kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 \u00e7\u0131karlar ve her iki \u00fclkenin de g\u00fcvenli\u011fe duydu\u011fu ihtiya\u00e7 g\u00f6z \u00f6n\u00fcne al\u0131narak Nisan ile Eyl\u00fcl aylar\u0131 aras\u0131nda \u0130ran ile Suudi Arabistan taraf\u0131ndan Irak\u2019\u0131n ev sahipli\u011finde ili\u015fkilerin d\u00fczeltilmesi i\u00e7in 4 m\u00fczakere oturumu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi. Irak\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkenti Ba\u011fdat\u2019ta d\u00fczenlenen bu 4 m\u00fczakereye ra\u011fmen kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 g\u00fcvensizlik, iki taraf\u0131n da taviz vermek istememesi ve baz\u0131 b\u00f6lgesel g\u00fc\u00e7lerin g\u00f6sterdi\u011fi muhalefet nedeniyle Ortado\u011fu\u2019nun bu iki \u00f6nemli \u00fclkesi aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fczakerelerde hen\u00fcz ciddi bir ilerleme kaydedilemedi. Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma mevcut durumun itici g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc ve \u0130ran \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti ile Suudi Arabistan Krall\u0131\u011f\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fczakerelere ili\u015fkin gelecek senaryolar\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015facakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Giri\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u0130ran-Suudi Arabistan ili\u015fkileri, 1979 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki devrimin ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olmas\u0131 ve \u0130ran\u2019da \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti\u2019nin kurulmas\u0131ndan bu yana \u00e7e\u015fitli de\u011fi\u015fimler ge\u00e7irdi. Bu tarihten sonra iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin her iki \u00fclkedeki i\u00e7 geli\u015fmeler ile b\u00f6lgesel ve uluslararas\u0131 geli\u015fmeler ekseninde yard\u0131mla\u015fma, rekabet ve \u00e7at\u0131\u015fma olmak \u00fczere 3 s\u00fcrece ayr\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00f6ylemek m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Bu s\u00fcre\u00e7ler, iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerin seyrini belirlemi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Ocak 2016\u2019da Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n \u015eii Din Adam\u0131 Nemr En-Nemr\u2019i idam etmesini protesto eden g\u00f6stericilerin \u0130ran\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkenti Tahran\u2019daki Suudi Arabistan B\u00fcy\u00fckel\u00e7ili\u011fi ve Me\u015fhed\u2019deki Suudi Arabistan Konsoloslu\u011funa sald\u0131rmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan iki \u00fclke aras\u0131ndaki diplomatik ili\u015fkiler kopmu\u015ftu. Son y\u0131llarda iki taraf aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan anla\u015fmazl\u0131k ve gerilimler, taraflar aras\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131\u015fman\u0131n da dozunu artt\u0131rm\u0131\u015f ve taraflar\u0131 bir so\u011fuk sava\u015f durumuna getirmi\u015ftir. Ancak, diplomatik ili\u015fkilerin kesilmesinin \u00fczerinden ge\u00e7en 6 y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcrenin ard\u0131ndan \u0130ran ile Suudi Arabistan aras\u0131nda, Nisan 2021\u2019den bu yana ikili ili\u015fkiler, b\u00f6lgesel ve uluslararas\u0131 geli\u015fmelerin tart\u0131\u015f\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 4 m\u00fczakere oturumu ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirildi. Bu oturumlara, Irak\u2019\u0131n ba\u015fkenti Ba\u011fdat ev sahipli\u011fi yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Son aylarda, Tahran-Riyad ili\u015fkilerinde ciddi bir yumu\u015fama g\u00f6zlemlenmektedir. Nisan ay\u0131ndan bu yana ge\u00e7en 7 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcre zarf\u0131nda gerek Suudi Arabistan gerekse \u0130ranl\u0131 yetkililer taraf\u0131ndan ikili ili\u015fkilere dair olumlu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar yap\u0131l\u0131yor. Bu a\u00e7\u0131klamalar\u0131n en yenisi ve belki de en \u00f6nemlisi, Suudi Arabistan Kral\u0131 Selman Bin Abd\u00fclaziz taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131ld\u0131. Kral Selman, 76. BM Genel Kurulu\u2019nda yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 konu\u015fmada, \u201c\u0130ran \u00f6nemli kom\u015fu \u00fclkelerdendir. Ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirdi\u011fimiz m\u00fczakerelerin iki taraf aras\u0131nda g\u00fcven in\u015fa etmesini ve her iki halk\u0131n arzulad\u0131\u011f\u0131 gibi kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131kl\u0131 sorumluluk, me\u015fru kararlar, uluslararas\u0131 kararlar, egemenli\u011fe sayg\u0131 ve i\u00e7 i\u015flerine m\u00fcdahale etmeme ilkeleri \u00e7er\u00e7evesinde olumlu ili\u015fkiler in\u015fa etmeyi umuyoruz\u201d dedi. \u0130ran D\u0131\u015fi\u015fleri Bakan\u0131 H\u00fcseyin Emir Abdullahiyan ise BM Genel Kurul toplant\u0131s\u0131nda kapsam\u0131nda gazetecilere yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, Suudi Arabistan taraf\u0131 ile y\u00fcr\u00fctt\u00fckleri m\u00fczakerelerin yap\u0131c\u0131 bir \u015fekilde devam etti\u011fini belirterek, Tahran\u2019\u0131n Yemen\u2019de bar\u0131\u015f\u0131 sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in dinamik \u00f6neriler sundu\u011funu ifade etti.<\/p>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, \u0130ran ile Suudi Arabistan aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fczakerelere \u0131\u015f\u0131k tutmaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmaktad\u0131r. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fmada, \u015fu sorulara cevap verilmeye \u00e7al\u0131\u015f\u0131lacakt\u0131r: Diplomatik ili\u015fkilerin kesilmesinden 6 y\u0131l sonra \u0130ran ile Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131 bu m\u00fczakerelere iten sebepler nedir? Taraflar bu m\u00fczakereler i\u00e7in ne kadar haz\u0131rd\u0131r? Tahran ile Riyad aras\u0131ndaki m\u00fczakerelerde ilerleme kaydetmenin \u00f6n\u00fcndeki engeller nelerdir? Ve son olarak; m\u00fczakerelerin devam\u0131 ve ikili ili\u015fkilerin gelece\u011fi i\u00e7in tasavvur edilmesi m\u00fcmk\u00fcn olan senaryolar nelerdir?<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u0130ran \u0130slam Cumhuriyeti ile Suudi Arabistan aras\u0131ndaki diplomatik ili\u015fkiler, Ocak 2016\u2019da Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n \u015eii din adam\u0131 Nemr Bak\u0131r En-Nemr\u2019i idam etmesinin ard\u0131ndan Suudi Arabistan\u2019\u0131n Me\u015fhed\u2019deki Konsoloslu\u011funa \u0130ranl\u0131 protestocular taraf\u0131ndan sald\u0131r\u0131 ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmesinden bu yana kesilmi\u015fti. \u0130ki \u00fclke aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan siyasi ve diplomatik ihtilaflarla ge\u00e7en 6 y\u0131ll\u0131k s\u00fcrecin ard\u0131ndan son aylarda Tahran ile Riyad aras\u0131ndaki ili\u015fkilerde b\u00fcy\u00fck bir s\u00fck\u00fbnet g\u00f6r\u00fcl\u00fcyor<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":250,"featured_media":29219,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[361],"tags":[],"asf_pub_issue":[10319],"asf_pub_region":[10321],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29383"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/250"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29383"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29383\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29579,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29383\/revisions\/29579"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29219"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29383"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29383"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29383"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=29383"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=29383"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}