{"id":29565,"date":"2021-12-01T11:51:23","date_gmt":"2021-12-01T08:51:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/?p=29565"},"modified":"2022-01-05T10:23:49","modified_gmt":"2022-01-05T07:23:49","slug":"sii-hizbullah-ve-maruni-ozgur-yurtsever-hareket-arasindaki-iktidar-ittifaki-uzerine-bir-inceleme","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/2021\/12\/01\/sii-hizbullah-ve-maruni-ozgur-yurtsever-hareket-arasindaki-iktidar-ittifaki-uzerine-bir-inceleme\/","title":{"rendered":"\u015eii Hizbullah ve Maruni \u00d6zg\u00fcr Yurtsever Hareket Aras\u0131ndaki \u0130ktidar \u0130ttifak\u0131 \u00dczerine Bir \u0130nceleme"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\" Selman Buyukkara<\/a>      <\/i> 01 Aral\u0131k 2021<\/span><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div>
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PDF \u0130ndir<\/span><\/a><\/div><\/div><\/div>
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Uzman G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc<\/a> \/ L\u00fcbnan<\/a> \/ B\u00f6lgesel Politika<\/a><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div>
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(Bu metin \u0130ngilizce orijinal versiyonundan terc\u00fcme edilmi\u015ftir.)<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

\u00d6zet:<\/strong> L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n mezhep\u00e7i siyasal sisteminde merkezi bir yer i\u015fgal eden Hizbullah ve \u00d6zg\u00fcr Yurtsever Hareket\u2019in (\u00d6YH) bir Mutabakat Bildirisi imzalamalar\u0131 ve g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde iktidara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f siyasal bir ittifak kurmalar\u0131 \u00fczerinden on be\u015f y\u0131l ge\u00e7ti. \u0130deolojik ve siyasi a\u00e7\u0131dan birbirine z\u0131t bu iki parti, 2005\u2019te Suriye\u2019nin L\u00fcbnan\u2019dan \u00e7ekilmesiyle olu\u015fan yeni siyasal iklimde stratejik ve pragmatik ama\u00e7larla bir araya geldi. Bu ittifak sayesinde Hizbullah silahlar\u0131n\u0131 korumak i\u00e7in bir Hristiyan kalkan\u0131 elde ederken, \u00d6YH de L\u00fcbnan siyasetindeki yaln\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131na son vermek i\u00e7in bir m\u00fcttefik kazanm\u0131\u015f oldu. Fakat son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ldaki ulusal, b\u00f6lgesel ve uluslararas\u0131 geli\u015fmeler uzun bir s\u00fcredir her iki taraf\u0131 siyasi arenada \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kartan bu anla\u015fmay\u0131 tehlikeye atabilir. Bu yaz\u0131da Hizbullah ve \u00d6YH aras\u0131ndaki ittifak\u0131n s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilirli\u011fini tehlikeye atan gerilim noktalar\u0131 ana hatlar\u0131yla analiz edilecektir.<\/p>\n

Giri\u015f<\/strong><\/p>\n

6 \u015eubat 2021\u2019de \u00d6zg\u00fcr Yurtsever Hareket (\u00d6YH) ba\u015fkan\u0131 Cibr\u00e2n B\u00e2s\u00eel, Hizbullah ile imzalanan Mutabakat Bildirisi\u2019nin yeniden g\u00f6zden ge\u00e7irilmesi gerekti\u011fine y\u00f6nelik bir a\u00e7\u0131klamada bulundu. Yapt\u0131\u011f\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131klamada, \u201cL\u00fcbnan [halk\u0131] i\u00e7in yeni ufuklar ve umutlar olu\u015fturmak amac\u0131ndaki bu mutabakat\u0131 geli\u015ftirmek, onun s\u00fcrekli olarak varl\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrebilmesi i\u00e7in bir \u00f6n ko\u015fuldur. Fakat, mutabakata ba\u011fl\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 bildirmi\u015f olanlar e\u011fer devlet in\u015fa etme m\u00fccadelesinde ve herhangi bir direni\u015fi yahut m\u00fccadeleyi yok eden yozla\u015fm\u0131\u015f ittifaklara kar\u015f\u0131 \u015ferefli L\u00fcbnanl\u0131lar\u0131n zaferini ilan etmede ba\u015far\u0131l\u0131 olamazlarsa art\u0131k bu mutabakata bir ihtiya\u00e7 da yok demektir\u201d ifadelerini kulland\u0131.[i]<\/a> \u00d6YH ve Hizbullah aras\u0131ndaki stratejik ittifak\u0131n 15. y\u0131ld\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcnde yap\u0131lan bu a\u00e7\u0131klama, meclisteki \u00e7o\u011funluklar\u0131n\u0131 korumada ve 2016\u2019da M\u00ee\u015f\u00e2l Avn\u2019\u0131 cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 se\u00e7medeki ba\u015far\u0131lar\u0131na ra\u011fmen ittifak\u0131n y\u00fczle\u015fmekte oldu\u011fu problemleri su y\u00fcz\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131karmaktad\u0131r. Son \u00fc\u00e7 y\u0131ldaki ulusal, b\u00f6lgesel ve uluslararas\u0131 geli\u015fmeler ittifak\u0131n gelece\u011fini ge\u00e7mi\u015f on be\u015f y\u0131ldaki herhangi bir andan daha belirsiz k\u0131lmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n

Bu yaz\u0131, i\u00e7 i\u015flerindeki ve belli b\u00f6lgesel geli\u015fmelerdeki maliyet y\u00fck\u00fc sebebiyle ittifaktaki artan gerilim noktalar\u0131n\u0131 analiz etmeyi ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r. Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma \u00f6ncelikle ideolojik olarak birbirine z\u0131t olan bu partileri birle\u015ftiren siyasal, ideolojik ve sosyal ba\u011flama odaklanmaktad\u0131r. Ard\u0131ndan, L\u00fcbnan siyasetinin tarihsel d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcnde m\u00fcttefiklerin imtiyaz ve taviz verme pazarl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131n nas\u0131l evirildi\u011fini de\u011ferlendirmektedir. Son olarak bu yaz\u0131, ittifaktaki \u00e7atlaklar\u0131 alt\u0131 temel ba\u015fl\u0131kta de\u011ferlendirerek sonu\u00e7lanmaktad\u0131r: (1) 2019 protestolar\u0131, (2) L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n ekonomik krizi ve izolasyonu, (3) Beyrut patlamas\u0131 ve de\u011fi\u015fen tehdit alg\u0131lar\u0131, (4) Patrik Er-R\u00e2\u00ee\u2019nin Hizbullah\u2019a y\u00f6nelik muhalefeti, (5) d\u0131\u015f politika yakla\u015f\u0131mlar\u0131ndaki ayr\u0131l\u0131klar ve \u00d6YH ile Hizbullah \u00fczerindeki uluslararas\u0131 bask\u0131, (6) Hizbullah\u2019\u0131n m\u00fcttefikleri aras\u0131nda ya\u015fanan \u00e7\u0131kar \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131.<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>

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L\u00fcbnan\u2019\u0131n mezhep\u00e7i siyasal sisteminde merkezi bir yer i\u015fgal eden Hizbullah ve \u00d6zg\u00fcr Yurtsever Hareket\u2019in (\u00d6YH) bir Mutabakat Bildirisi imzalamalar\u0131 ve g\u00fcn\u00fcm\u00fczde iktidara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f siyasal bir ittifak kurmalar\u0131 \u00fczerinden on be\u015f y\u0131l ge\u00e7ti<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":251,"featured_media":29378,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[361],"tags":[],"asf_pub_issue":[10319],"asf_pub_region":[10321,17578],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29565"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/251"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29565"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29565\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29733,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29565\/revisions\/29733"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29378"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29565"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29565"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29565"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=29565"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=29565"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}