{"id":9213,"date":"2018-12-10T16:19:23","date_gmt":"2018-12-10T13:19:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/?p=9213"},"modified":"2020-09-03T17:16:55","modified_gmt":"2020-09-03T14:16:55","slug":"suriye-kim-once-gozunu-kirpacak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/2018\/12\/10\/suriye-kim-once-gozunu-kirpacak\/","title":{"rendered":"Suriye: Kim \u00d6nce G\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc K\u0131rpacak?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"\" Mona Alami<\/a>      <\/i> 10 Aral\u0131k 2018<\/span><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div>
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\n\t\n\t\t<\/i>\n\t\tPDF olarak indir\t\t\n\t<\/a>\n<\/p>\n<\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div>

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Uzman G\u00f6r\u00fc\u015f\u00fc<\/a> \/ \/ B\u00d6LGESEL G\u00dcVENL\u0130K<\/a>, D\u00fcnya Siyaseti<\/a>, B\u00f6lgesel Politika<\/a><\/h6><\/div><\/div><\/div>
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\u00d6zet<\/span><\/strong>: \u0130dlib\u2019de gerilim y\u00fckselirken Suriye\u2019deki mevcut siyasi denge art\u0131k uzun vadede s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Konunun taraflar\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 ve birbiriyle \u00e7eli\u015fen hedefleri var. Avrupa, Suriye konusunda t\u00fckenmi\u015f durumda ve sorunun art\u0131k bitmesini istemekte. Rusya \u00fclkeyi daha  istikrarl\u0131 bir h\u00e2le getirip Suriye politikas\u0131n\u0131n meyvelerini toplamaya ba\u015flamak niyetinde. \u0130ran ve rejim ise kat\u0131 politikalar\u0131n\u0131n i\u015fe yaramaya devam edece\u011finden emin bir \u015fekilde h\u00e2l\u00e2 oyunu uzatman\u0131n pe\u015finde. Ancak her satran\u00e7 oyununda oldu\u011fu gibi, eninde sonunda ta\u015flardan biri kaybedilecektir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Giri\u015f<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00fcrkiye, 27 Ekim\u2019de[1]<\/a> Suriye sava\u015f\u0131na siyasi bir \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm yolu arayan bir toplant\u0131da Rus, Frans\u0131z ve Alman liderleri a\u011f\u0131rlad\u0131. Yedi y\u0131ll\u0131k \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmay\u0131 sonland\u0131rmaya y\u00f6nelik verilen s\u00f6zlere ra\u011fmen s\u00fcrece dahil olan \u00e7e\u015fitli \u00fclkelerin \u015fimdilik stat\u00fckonun s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclmesinden rahats\u0131z g\u00f6r\u00fcnmemesi nedeniyle toplant\u0131 somut sonu\u00e7lar vermedi. Fakat bir\u00e7ok b\u00f6lgesel akt\u00f6r dengenin uzun vadede s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n fark\u0131nda ve her bir taraf di\u011ferlerinin g\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fc k\u0131rpmas\u0131n\u0131 beklemekte.<\/p>\n

Konferans\u0131n kapan\u0131\u015f konu\u015fmalar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131nda kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131lar Suriye sava\u015f\u0131na siyasi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm getirilmesine dair \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 tekrarlad\u0131. T\u00fcrkiye Cumhurba\u015fkan\u0131 Recep Tayyip Erdo\u011fan tart\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131 \u201cverimli ve samimi\u201d olarak niteleyip d\u00f6rt kat\u0131l\u0131mc\u0131n\u0131n da y\u0131l sonunda Suriye i\u00e7in yeni bir anayasa komisyonu kurmaya y\u00f6nelik bir Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler giri\u015fimini destekleme konusunda mutab\u0131k kald\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ekledi.<\/p>\n

Uluslararas\u0131 liderlerin sonu\u00e7 bildirgesi \u201ckapsay\u0131c\u0131, Suriyelilerin \u00f6nc\u00fcl\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde ve Suriyelilere ait siyasi bir s\u00fcrecin\u201d ba\u015flat\u0131lmas\u0131 ve BM destekli serbest ve adil se\u00e7imler d\u00fczenlenmeden \u00f6nce anayasa reformu \u00fczerinde \u00e7al\u0131\u015facak bir komisyonun y\u0131l sonunda toplanmas\u0131 \u00e7a\u011fr\u0131s\u0131nda bulundu. Daha \u00f6nce Rusya\u2019n\u0131n So\u00e7i kentinde d\u00fczenlenen bar\u0131\u015f konferans\u0131na kat\u0131lanlar Suriye anayasas\u0131n\u0131 yazmak \u00fczere 150 \u00fcyelik bir komisyon kurulmas\u0131n\u0131 kabul etmi\u015fti.  T\u00fcrkiye taraf\u0131ndan davet edilmemi\u015f oldu\u011fu anla\u015f\u0131lan ABD\u2019nin zirvede yer almamas\u0131 dikkat \u00e7ekiciydi. ABD, Avrupa\u2019ya k\u0131yasla Suriye konusunda daha az  uzla\u015fma e\u011filimine sahip bir akt\u00f6r olarak alg\u0131lanmaktad\u0131r.[2]<\/a> Fakat \u0130stanbul\u2019daki zirve, Suriye\u2019de siyasi \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcme d\u00f6n\u00fck bir geli\u015fme sa\u011flayamasa da, Rusya sponsorlu\u011fundaki So\u00e7i ve Astana s\u00fcre\u00e7lerinin BM bar\u0131\u015f g\u00f6r\u00fc\u015fmelerinden daha \u00f6nemli oldu\u011funu peki\u015ftirerek T\u00fcrkiye ve Rusya\u2019n\u0131n Eyl\u00fcl\u2019de vard\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u0130dlib anla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131n uygulanmas\u0131na \u00f6ncelik verdi.[3]<\/a><\/p>\n

Konferans Suriye genelinde \u015fiddet kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131n azalmas\u0131n\u0131n ard\u0131ndan yap\u0131ld\u0131 ve Esed ile Rus ve \u0130ranl\u0131 m\u00fcttefiklerini muzaffer konuma getirdi. Ancak yedi y\u0131ll\u0131k kanl\u0131 bir \u00e7at\u0131\u015fmadan sonra rejim art\u0131k hem co\u011frafi hem de siyasi olarak par\u00e7alanm\u0131\u015f bir \u00fclkeye h\u00fckmetmektedir. Esed, destek buldu\u011fu b\u00f6lgelerde rejimin g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fc toparlamaya \u00e7al\u0131\u015fsa da rejim g\u00fc\u00e7leri, devlet kurumlar\u0131na isyan\u0131 bast\u0131rmada yard\u0131mc\u0131 olan \u00e7ok say\u0131da milis grubuyla birlikte hareket eden da\u011f\u0131n\u0131k bir yap\u0131 olarak kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/div>

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Your Text Here<\/p>\n<\/div>

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\u0130dlib\u2019de gerilim y\u00fckselirken Suriye\u2019deki mevcut siyasi denge art\u0131k uzun vadede s\u00fcrd\u00fcr\u00fclebilir g\u00f6r\u00fcnm\u00fcyor. Konunun taraflar\u0131n\u0131n farkl\u0131 ve birbiriyle \u00e7eli\u015fen hedefleri var.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":98,"featured_media":9163,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_mo_disable_npp":"","ngg_post_thumbnail":0},"categories":[361],"tags":[2477,9816],"asf_pub_issue":[10305,10317,10319],"asf_pub_region":[10321,10325,10327],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9213"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/98"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9213"}],"version-history":[{"count":7,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9213\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24744,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9213\/revisions\/24744"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/9163"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9213"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9213"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9213"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_issue","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_issue?post=9213"},{"taxonomy":"asf_pub_region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/research.sharqforum.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/asf_pub_region?post=9213"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}