Abstract: The protests in Iraq and Lebanon which erupted in the second half of 2019 have created a challenge for Iranian interests as they seek to shake-up Tehran-backed political regimes. Just like the Arab uprisings in 2011 and the Anbar protests in 2013, Tehran is viewing these current protests through a geopolitical lens. The Iranian establishment’s structural duality, securitized approach, and experience of backlash to its intervention in Syria, have created a relatively ambiguous official Iranian response to the protests: It has cautiously endorsed calls for political change, but also emphasized the role of foreign interference in fueling violence. This brief attempts to analyze the different Iranian official responses to the Iraqi and Lebanon protests, and explain how Tehran views them from a geopolitical point of view, which puts its deterrence strategies center stage.