22 Nov, 2023

Scenarios of the Al-Aqsa Flood Operation and the War on Gaza

Al Sharq Strategic Research | 22 November 2023

The outcome of any war is uncertain. Thus, we cannot predict how the Israeli war launched on the Gaza Strip, following the “Al-Aqsa Flood” operation launched by Hamas on October 7, will end. This position paper explores the following potential scenarios, based on the evolving dynamics of the actors:

Scenarios of the Al-Aqsa Flood Operation and the War on Gaza2023-11-22T11:02:51+03:00
23 Aug, 2023

SCENARIO ANALYSIS: NIGER’S POST-COUP FUTURE

Al Sharq Strategic Research | 23 August 2023

The political landscape of Niger has undergone a significant transformation following the military coup led by General Abdourahamane Tchiani. The coup has not only reshaped the country's internal governance but has also introduced multifaceted geopolitical implications

SCENARIO ANALYSIS: NIGER’S POST-COUP FUTURE2023-08-23T13:42:11+03:00
8 Aug, 2023

Scenarios for the Future of the Sudan Conflict

Al Sharq Strategic Research | 08 August 2023

The ongoing conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan continues to escalate, with peace talks faltering and a growing risk of foreign involvement. This position paper explores four possible outcomes:

Scenarios for the Future of the Sudan Conflict2023-08-08T14:59:48+03:00
27 Jul, 2023

Scenarios for the Wagner Group’s Future in the MENA Region

Al Sharq Strategic Research | 27 July 2023

The rebellion led by Yevgeny Prigozhin and the subsequent power struggle has raised uncertainties about the group’s future operations in the MENA region. This position paper explores four possible scenarios:

Scenarios for the Wagner Group’s Future in the MENA Region2023-07-27T15:19:10+03:00
18 Apr, 2023

One year since the Ukraine war… What has changed in the Middle East?

Al Sharq Strategic Research | 18 April 2023

With the escalation of the US-China rivalry, the Russo-Ukrainian war has slowed down or even stopped the United States’ endeavor to renege its commitments in the Middle East

One year since the Ukraine war… What has changed in the Middle East?2023-04-18T13:21:55+03:00
1 Mar, 2023

The Repercussions of Turkey’s Earthquake on Local Politics and Geopolitics

Al Sharq Strategic Research | 01 March 2023 | TR

The repercussions of the Kahramanmaras earthquake have not fully taken shape yet, and it is too early to determine all the aspects involved. However, they have added to the uncertainty that characterizes the local political environment in Turkey before the elections, which could potentially be postponed. Meanwhile, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan

The Repercussions of Turkey’s Earthquake on Local Politics and Geopolitics2023-03-14T13:40:21+03:00
3 Feb, 2023

A Cautious Partnership: Prospects for Iranian-Russian Relations in the Wake of the Ukraine War

Al Sharq Strategic Research | 03 February 2023

Russia and Iran have converging views concerning western powers. Putin considers that the West did not give Russia any consideration after the collapse of the Soviet Union, nor did it respect its interests and culture. Whereas Iran believes that the western threats it is facing are targeting its internal stability and external influence and aiming at deviating from the path of the Islamic Revolution.

A Cautious Partnership: Prospects for Iranian-Russian Relations in the Wake of the Ukraine War2023-02-08T11:51:16+03:00
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