The outcome of any war is uncertain. Thus, we cannot predict how the Israeli war launched on the Gaza Strip, following the “Al-Aqsa Flood” operation launched by Hamas on October 7, will end. This position paper explores the following potential scenarios, based on the evolving dynamics of the actors:
The Gaza crisis heralds a new step in the emerging global order. The aftershocks of the Gaza crisis are highly likely to reach far beyond the Middle East and Africa region given the unexpected [...]
The political landscape of Niger has undergone a significant transformation following the military coup led by General Abdourahamane Tchiani. The coup has not only reshaped the country's internal governance but has also introduced multifaceted geopolitical implications
The ongoing conflict between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in Sudan continues to escalate, with peace talks faltering and a growing risk of foreign involvement. This position paper explores four possible outcomes:
The rebellion led by Yevgeny Prigozhin and the subsequent power struggle has raised uncertainties about the group’s future operations in the MENA region. This position paper explores four possible scenarios:
With the escalation of the US-China rivalry, the Russo-Ukrainian war has slowed down or even stopped the United States’ endeavor to renege its commitments in the Middle East
The repercussions of the Kahramanmaras earthquake have not fully taken shape yet, and it is too early to determine all the aspects involved. However, they have added to the uncertainty that characterizes the local political environment in Turkey before the elections, which could potentially be postponed. Meanwhile, President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Russia and Iran have converging views concerning western powers. Putin considers that the West did not give Russia any consideration after the collapse of the Soviet Union, nor did it respect its interests and culture. Whereas Iran believes that the western threats it is facing are targeting its internal stability and external influence and aiming at deviating from the path of the Islamic Revolution.