21 Jan, 2022

The Dangers and Implications of a Probable Full US Withdrawal from Iraq

Zubir R Ahmed Nawzad Abdullah | 21 January 2022

Strategic dialogue between Iraq and the US (United States) came to the conclusion that coalition troops should be withdrawn on 31 December 2021, with the coalition’s mission becoming a purely advisory role

The Dangers and Implications of a Probable Full US Withdrawal from Iraq2022-04-05T16:23:38+03:00
18 Jan, 2022

The Ethiopian Crisis: A Dangerous Precedent for Future Conflicts?

Federico Donelli | 18 January 2022 | AR | TR

This brief analyzes Ethiopia's conflict dynamics and highlights some of its regional and global implications. The Ethiopian military's intervention in the northern region of Tigray in November 2020 has triggered

The Ethiopian Crisis: A Dangerous Precedent for Future Conflicts?2022-04-05T16:34:25+03:00
27 Dec, 2021

Intra-PUK rivalry and its Implications for the Iraqi Kurdish Political Landscape

Kamaran Palani Khogir W. Mohammed | 27 December 2021 | TR

The Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), a major centre of power in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI), has witnessed a significant confrontation between its co-presidents since July 2021, further dispersing power and widening the leadership vacuum in the region

Intra-PUK rivalry and its Implications for the Iraqi Kurdish Political Landscape2022-09-27T12:28:05+03:00
22 Dec, 2021

The voter intention-behaviour gap, public perception and the consequences for Libya’s election

Miriam Tresh | 22 December 2021

Following the UN-mediated Libyan Political Dialogue Forum, Libya’s first national elections since 2014 were announced. In advocating for early elections as a post-conflict solution to instability, policymakers have failed to consider the reality of electoral participation for citizens. In actuality, voting is a high-cost low-benefit

The voter intention-behaviour gap, public perception and the consequences for Libya’s election2022-11-14T13:28:09+03:00
14 Dec, 2021

‘Quietist’ Salafism in North Africa: Outlining Moroccan and Libyan Developments

Guy Robert Eyre Inga Kristina Trauthig | 14 December 2021

‘Quietist’ Salafis, considered typically to reject politics, political activism, and violence, and instead focus on religious education and learning, are in many ways the ‘heart’ of global Salafism. They also have deep roots and a significant following in North Africa, including in Morocco and Libya

‘Quietist’ Salafism in North Africa: Outlining Moroccan and Libyan Developments2022-04-07T13:15:11+03:00
1 Dec, 2021

The Ruling Alliance between Hezbollah and Free Patriotic Movement Under Scrutiny

Selman Buyukkara | 01 December 2021 | TR

Fifteen years have passed since Hezbollah and the Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), which both occupy a central place in Lebanon’s sectarian political system, signed a Memorandum of Understanding and formed the political alliance currently governing Lebanon. These two parties, which were ideologically and politically opposed

The Ruling Alliance between Hezbollah and Free Patriotic Movement Under Scrutiny2022-04-07T13:28:18+03:00
16 Nov, 2021

Democracy Promotion No Longer? Autocratic Diffusion and Economic Barriers to Democratic Consolidation in Tunisia

Firat Kimya | 16 November 2021

The crisis of democracy in Tunisia continues, as President Kais Saied declared an indefinite suspension of parliament, which he has depicted as a threat to the state. Amidst this crisis, the indecisive attitude of international democratic actors has disappointed many and created a power vacuum for MENA strongmen to extend their political influence on Tunisia

Democracy Promotion No Longer? Autocratic Diffusion and Economic Barriers to Democratic Consolidation in Tunisia2022-04-07T14:16:38+03:00
14 Sep, 2021

The Bagdad Conference: Preparation for U.S. Withdrawal or the Brokering of a New Regional Balance?

Zubir R Ahmed | 14 September 2021 | TR

Early August 2021, the Mustafa al-Kadhimi government announced the “Iraqi Neighboring Countries Conference,” designed to focus on regional challenges and ways to overcome them. The conference, held on August 28, 2021, was initially aimed at hosting Iraq’s neighbors, particularly Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Jordan

The Bagdad Conference: Preparation for U.S. Withdrawal or the Brokering of a New Regional Balance?2022-04-10T16:18:19+03:00
27 Aug, 2021

Heated Conflict or Consolidation of the Status Quo in Northeast Syria: What is next for the AANES ?

Bedir Mulla Rashid Mehmet Emin Cengiz | 27 August 2021 | AR | TR

Following the presidential elections held in Syria in May 2021, the PYD-led Autonomous Administration of North and East Syria (AANES) has witnessed protests in the territories under its control. The deteriorating economic living standards coupled with the Syrian Democratic Forces’ forced military conscription led people to organize protests

Heated Conflict or Consolidation of the Status Quo in Northeast Syria: What is next for the AANES ?2022-04-11T13:36:31+03:00
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